Result
0:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 4
- Referee: Dommerudveksling N. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (376/456) | 83% (460/552) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (376/456) | 83% (460/552) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (36/75) | 29% (16/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (91/144) | 79% (143/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', Pudel B. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, John K. ⚽, Nielsen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Moller V. ↓, Kallesoe M. ↑,
- 60', Bust L. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 70', Dorgu I. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 70', Culhaci G. ↓, Mudi ↑,
- 75', Jasson A. ↓, Bonde M. ↑,
- 75', Maarup A. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
- 76', Larsen G. ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
- 76', Rasmussen M. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
- 83', Jensen M. 🟥,
- 88', Bonde M. 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, John K. ⚽, Kallesoe M. (A),
Chances of winning
HB Køge
24.7% | Draw
24.4% | Aalborg BK
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
HB Køge - Aalborg BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↓
(3.85) |
3.83 ↑
(3.63) |
1.84
(1.84) |
6.8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Aalborg BK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aalborg BK will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Aalborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aalborg is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Aalborg BK?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against HB Køge?
Aalborg BK has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Aalborg BK were as follows:
03.12.2023
HB Køge
-
Aalborg BK
1:2
22.09.2023
Aalborg BK
-
HB Køge
2:0
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kolding IF | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Hvidovre IF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Koge | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Hillerod | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | B.93 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Hobro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Aarhus Fremad | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
