Result
2:1
02/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 12
- Referee: Andersen N. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (504/568) | 78% (256/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (504/568) | 78% (256/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (120/153) | 53% (42/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 3.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Hald S. 🟨,
- 12', Larsen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Jensen Tue C. ↑,
- 52', Andersson A. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Ross O. ⚽, John K. (A),
- 64', Larsen G. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 67', Ross O. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,
- 67', Moller V. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,
- 72', Jakobsen N. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 0, Hansen K. ⚽,
- 80', Mudi ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 80', Hald S. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Jensen Tue C. ⚽,
- 90+1', Hansen K. ↓, Hapnes A. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aalborg BK
63.4% | Draw
20.2% | HB Køge
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+2%)
Aalborg BK - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.59) |
4.67 ↑
(4.25) |
5.71 ↑
(5.03) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Aalborg BK - HB Køge?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalborg: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In recent matches, Aalborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Køge's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aalborg is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aalborg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against HB Køge?
Aalborg BK has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Aalborg BK?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalborg BK - HB Køge were as follows:
10.08.2025
HB Køge
-
Aalborg BK
0:2
03.12.2023
HB Køge
-
Aalborg BK
1:2
22.09.2023
Aalborg BK
-
HB Køge
2:0
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Horsens | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | B.93 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Koge | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
