Aalborg BK vs Aarhus Fremad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 25
  • Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.252.54
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
725
Shots on target
48
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
313
Passes
75% (259/344)84% (444/529)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.252.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.98
Total shots
725
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
19
Blocked shots
28
Shots inside the box
715
Shots outside the box
010
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
1943
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1113
Passes
75% (259/344)84% (444/529)
Long passes
36% (26/72)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)75% (120/161)
Crosses
25% (2/8)35% (12/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.43
Throw ins
921
Fouls
1311
Tackles
53% (10/19)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
3814
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
71
xGOT faced
0.981.40
Goals prevented
-0.02-1.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 6', Hjaltason O. 🟨,
  • 7', Agnarsson M. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Helenius N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Kaastrup M. ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Hansen K. , Helenius N. (A),
  • 42', 3 - 1, Adedeji J. , Helenius N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hjaltason O. , Kirchheiner M. ,
  • 60', Kubel M. , John K. ,
  • 60', Adedeji J. , Bonde M. ,
  • 62', Pisani A. , Riisgaard L. ,
  • 73', Andersen K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 78', Egerton E. , Holvad A. ,
  • 78', Agnarsson M. , Lunding K. ,
  • 82', Nielsen M. , Arnorsson N. ,
  • 82', Helenius N. , Kallesoe M. ,
  • 86', Baekgard S. , Ryberg M. ,
  • 88', Hansen K. , Thomsen W. ,

Chances of winning


Aalborg BK
33.5%
Draw
26.6%
Aarhus Fremad
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.2% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.9% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aalborg BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (2.39)
    3.51
    (3.27)
    2.35
    (2.76)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Aalborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aalborg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad 0:1
    29.08.2025 Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK 5:1
    Latest results of Aalborg BK
    10.04.2026 Hobro - Aalborg BK 0:1
    04.04.2026 Middelfart - Aalborg BK 2:5
    21.03.2026 Aalborg BK - Esbjerg 1:1
    14.03.2026 Hobro - Aalborg BK 1:0
    06.03.2026 Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad 0:1
    Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
    Danish 1 Division Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby27166562:293354
    2Hvidovre IF271111539:291044
    3Horsens28128834:26844
    4Hillerod271110637:33443
    5Esbjerg281261035:40-542
    6Kolding IF27971132:32034

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