Result
3:2
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 14
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (287/362) | 87% (445/513) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (287/362) | 87% (445/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 54% (21/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/91) | 70% (84/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 20% (6/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hansen K. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Helenius N. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
- 24', Ivancevic M. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Warmerdam D. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
- 46', Blume B. ↓, Gytkjaer F. ↑,
- 46', Cornelius J. ↓, Fraulo G. ↑,
- 49', Helenius N. 🟨,
- 55', Ross O. ↓, Hapnes A. ↑,
- 58', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Thorvaldsson I. ⚽, Fraulo G. (A),
- 67', 3 - 1, Hansen K. ⚽, John K. (A),
- 69', Bomholt M. 🟨,
- 74', Helenius N. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
- 77', Langhoff P. ↓, Warming M. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Thorvaldsson I. (A),
- 85', Nielsen M. ↓, Olsson C. ↑,
- 85', Hansen K. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aalborg BK 40.8% | Draw 26.5% | Lyngby BK 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.36) |
3.53 ↓ (3.55) |
2.84 ↑ (2.6) |
6.7% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aalborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lyngby has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Lyngby BK?
Aalborg BK has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyngby BK won against Aalborg BK?
Lyngby BK has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK were as follows:
27.09.2025
Lyngby BK
-
Aalborg BK
2:1
24.05.2025
Lyngby BK
-
Aalborg BK
3:1
11.04.2025
Aalborg BK
-
Lyngby BK
2:2
10.11.2024
Lyngby BK
-
Aalborg BK
2:2
13.09.2024
Aalborg BK
-
Lyngby BK
2:1
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Latest results of Lyngby BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Horsens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | B.93 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:27 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )