Result
1:3
16/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 35
- Referee: Gianforte N. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (490/560) | 79% (270/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (490/560) | 79% (270/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (110/144) | 63% (66/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.06 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Acquah D. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Muller S. ⚽, Kessler R. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Correia O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Kessler R. 🟨,
- 67', Bahloul S. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 72', Essiam E. 🟨,
- 74', Fofana M. 🟨,
- 78', Maouche Y. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 82', Kessler R. ↓, Thaler M. ↑,
- 82', Koide H. ↓, Odutayo C. ↑,
- 83', Correia O. ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
- 83', Rufli V. ↓, Felder V. ↑,
- 85', Fazliu V. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Toure Y. ⚽, Odutayo C. (A),
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Toure Y. ⚽, Fazliu V. (A),
- 90+4', Gjorgjev N. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 90+4', Essiam E. ↓, Hasani B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
37.7% | Draw
25.8% | Aarau
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Étoile Carouge - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.66) |
3.58 ↓
(3.64) |
2.54 ↑
(2.33) |
8.1%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aarau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Injury)
Ninte M.
(Inactive)
Simbakoli U.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Derbaci D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Obexer L.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Aarau?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Étoile Carouge?
Aarau has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Aarau were as follows:
28.03.2025
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
2:2
05.12.2024
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
0:1
01.11.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Aarau
2:1
24.08.2024
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Stade Nyonnais | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Lausanne Ouchy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Wil | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
