Result
26/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
23.9% | Draw
24.9% | Aarau
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Étoile Carouge - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↓
(4.08) |
3.72 ↓
(3.78) |
1.81 ↑
(1.77) |
8.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Étoile is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aarau is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarau is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Aarau?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Étoile Carouge?
Aarau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Aarau were as follows:
16.05.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Aarau
1:3
28.03.2025
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
2:2
05.12.2024
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
0:1
01.11.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Aarau
2:1
24.08.2024
Aarau
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Wil | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
