Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 27
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (360/454) | 79% (341/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (360/454) | 79% (341/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (47/79) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (89/146) | 69% (66/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Deme M. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Vladi S. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Filet E. ⚽,
- 66', Fazliu V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Nvendo Ferrier V. ↓, Bourezak A. ↑,
- 70', Bergsma L. ↓, Facchinetti M. ↑,
- 70', Azemi A. ↓, Ben Seghir S. ↑,
- 74', Frokaj L. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 74', Vladi S. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
- 81', Dickenmann M. ↓, Guzzo R. ↑,
- 87', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 87', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarau
58.1% | Draw
23.3% | Neuchâtel Xamax
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.63) |
3.96 ↑
(3.93) |
4.94 ↑
(4.7) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4.
- Aarau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Xamax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarau is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Xamax: Abedini E.
(Yellow Cards)
Fontana J.
(Yellow Cards)
Reinhard S.
(Inactive)
Sacramento dos Santos G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Aarau has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Aarau?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax were as follows:
28.11.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:2
09.08.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
11.04.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:1
07.03.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
13.12.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:3
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 61:31 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:40 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:41 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
