Result
21/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Aarau 57.5% | Draw 23.6% | Neuchâtel Xamax 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.63) |
3.91 ↓ (3.93) |
4.88 ↑ (4.7) |
8.4% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4.
- Aarau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Xamax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarau is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Aarau has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Aarau?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax were as follows:
28.11.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:2
09.08.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
11.04.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:1
07.03.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
13.12.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:3
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:27 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Aarau | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 59 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36:36 | 0 | 36 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 7 | Wil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 27 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23:51 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League