Result
1:2
28/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 15
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (477/559) | 68% (213/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (477/559) | 68% (213/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (45/68) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (154/204) | 63% (66/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Filet E. ⚽, Chacon T. (A),
- 26', Abedini E. 🟨,
- 30', Chacon T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Chacon T. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 64', Abedini E. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Hautier J. ⚽,
- 68', Bayard R. 🟨,
- 69', Derbaci D. 🟨,
- 73', Koide H. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
- 73', Filet E. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 77', Streit N. ↓, Lentini F. ↑,
- 77', Kone K. ↓, Deme M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Afriyie D. ⚽, Derbaci D. (A),
- 90', Derbaci D. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 90+1', Bobadilla R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hubel M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
32.2% | Draw
26.1% | Aarau
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(3.06) |
3.55 ↓
(3.7) |
2.22 ↑
(2.05) |
8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Aarau will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xamax: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Xamax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Xamax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Xamax: Ben Seghir S.
(Inactive)
Demhasaj S.
(Inactive)
Krasniqi J.
(Knee Injury)
Mulaj L.
(Knee Injury)
Seydoux L.
(Inactive)
Sidibe I.
(Inactive)
Zahaj E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Fazliu V.
(Yellow Cards)
Petit V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Aarau?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Aarau has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau were as follows:
09.08.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
11.04.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:1
07.03.2025
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:0
13.12.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Aarau
1:3
03.08.2024
Aarau
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:3
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33:14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Aarau | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 36 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:18 | 13 | 27 |
| 4 | Xamax | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 16 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 |
| 9 | Wil | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11:32 | -21 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
