Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Aarau
57.5%
Draw
23.6%
Neuchâtel Xamax
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 23.5% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.9% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.63)
    3.91
    (3.93)
    4.88
    (4.7)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4.
    • Aarau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Xamax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aarau is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau 1:2
    09.08.2025 Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax 2:0
    11.04.2025 Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau 1:1
    07.03.2025 Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax 2:0
    13.12.2024 Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau 1:3
    Latest results of Aarau
    13.03.2026 Aarau - Vaduz 2:0
    06.03.2026 Étoile Carouge - Aarau 0:3
    27.02.2026 Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona 5:3
    20.02.2026 Stade Nyonnais - Aarau 1:1
    13.02.2026 Lausanne Ouchy - Aarau 4:2
    Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vaduz26185353:272659
    2Aarau26192553:332059
    3Yverdon26145749:321747
    4Lausanne Ouchy26116944:341039
    5Xamax261061036:36036
    6Rapperswil-Jona26921531:42-1129
    7Wil26691123:38-1527
    8Etoile-Carouge26671328:39-1125
    9Stade Nyonnais264121025:33-824
    10Bellinzona26361723:51-2815

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