Result
3:2
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.92 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/463) | 82% (321/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.92 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.64 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/463) | 82% (321/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (34/51) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (101/145) | 74% (78/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 4.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Emini L. ⚽, Saliji R. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Demhasaj S. ⚽, Kone K. (A),
- 26', Padula Lenna G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', Pousa R. 🟨,
- 60', Saliji R. 🟨,
- 60', Azemi A. ↓, Mulaj L. ↑,
- 64', Saliji R. ↓, Ngana V. ↑,
- 64', Pousa R. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
- 68', Demhasaj S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', 2 - 1, Demhasaj S. ⚽,
- 72', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 73', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Carraco D. ↑,
- 74', Schmidt J. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
- 74', De Carvalho F. ↓, Luthi J. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Hautier J. ⚽,
- 82', Demhasaj S. ↓, Nvendo Ferrier V. ↑,
- 82', Bayard R. ↓, Zahaj E. ↑,
- 87', Abedini E. 🟨,
- 87', Kamberi F. ↓, Morgado B. ↑,
- 89', Fontana J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Luthi J. ⚽, Bakayoko A. (A),
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
53.7% | Draw
23.5% | Rapperswil-Jona
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neuchâtel Xamax's performance.Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rapperswil-Jona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neuchâtel Xamax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.02) |
3.94 ↑
(3.54) |
4.06 ↑
(3.27) |
7.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Xamax (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Neuchâtel Xamax will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xamax (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rapperswil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Xamax will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Xamax: Bergsma L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Ambassa J.
(Inactive)
Dabanli B.
(Yellow Cards)
Napfer T.
(Inactive)
Ryter Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Rapperswil-Jona has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona were as follows:
24.10.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
26.09.2025
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:3
03.06.2023
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Rapperswil-Jona
3:0
31.05.2023
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:3
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62:33 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:38 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Xamax | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 40:50 | -10 | 35 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Wil | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
