Result
2:0
24/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 11
- Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (319/400) | 79% (302/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (319/400) | 79% (302/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 55% (30/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (77/115) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Muller S. ⚽, Fazliu V. (A),
- 19', Filet E. 🟨,
- 38', Selmonaj J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 60', Bunjaku O. ↓, Bytyqi E. ↑,
- 60', Hajij M. ↓, Abazi L. ↑,
- 67', Saho U. ↓, Tisch-Rottensteiner S. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Derbaci D. ⚽, Kessler R. (A),
- 72', Derbaci D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 73', Afriyie D. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 80', Schmid Y. ↓, Schreiber L. ↑,
- 80', Jacovic D. ↓, Rapp S. ↑,
- 84', Fazliu V. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 84', Zoukit N. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarau
59.4% | Draw
22.1% | Wil 1900
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aarau - Wil 1900 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.59) |
4.21 ↑
(4.1) |
5.05 ↑
(4.76) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarau - Wil 1900?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 1.
- Aarau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wil has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wil: Aliu X.
(Inactive)
Nwannah U.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Aarau will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:39. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Wil 1900?
Aarau has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wil 1900 won against Aarau?
Wil 1900 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Wil 1900 were as follows:
01.08.2025
Wil 1900
-
Aarau
1:3
09.05.2025
Aarau
-
Wil 1900
2:4
16.03.2025
Wil 1900
-
Aarau
0:1
24.11.2024
Aarau
-
Wil 1900
1:1
26.07.2024
Wil 1900
-
Aarau
2:2
Latest results of Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Xamax | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 |
| 9 | Wil | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9:23 | -14 | 8 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:28 | -23 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
