Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 22
- Referee: Iriskic F. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (280/360) | 83% (414/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (280/360) | 83% (414/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (30/72) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (63/97) | 77% (112/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 15% (5/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Larsen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Baekgard S. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 0, Kallsberg P. ⚽, Arndal T. (A),
- 57', Pisani A. ↓, Grube F. ↑,
- 57', Lunding K. ↓, Riisgaard L. ↑,
- 66', Arndal-Lauritzen G. ↓, Julo M. ↑,
- 66', Kallsberg P. ↓, Kucukylidiz B. ↑,
- 67', Baekgard S. ↓, Egerton E. ↑,
- 67', Hjaltason O. ↓, de Claville Berthelsen M. ↑,
- 75', Jalaei S. ↓, Sulemana H. ↑,
- 76', Arndal T. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
- 78', Kaastrup M. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 79', Kirchheiner M. 🟨,
- 83', Schmidt N. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 90+3', Kappenberger A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hillerød
32.4% | Draw
26% | Aarhus Fremad
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hillerød's form might have worsened.Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hillerød, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.42) |
3.59 ↑
(3.44) |
2.26 ↓
(2.58) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hillerød: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Hillerød is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
- Hillerød is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aarhus Fremad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aarhus Fremad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Aarhus Fremad?
Hillerød has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Hillerød?
Aarhus Fremad has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad were as follows:
09.08.2025
Aarhus Fremad
-
Hillerød
3:1
Latest results of Hillerød
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 42 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 33:29 | 4 | 37 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Horsens | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | B.93 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Hobro | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Koge | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
