Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 4
- Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 81% (381/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 81% (381/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/107) | 60% (79/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -2.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Andersen K. ⚽, Agnarsson M. (A),
- 29', Dedes V. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Andersen K. ⚽, Kubel M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Enghardt K. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Justinussen A. ⚽, Jalaei S. (A),
- 56', Baekgard S. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 1, Andersen K. ⚽, Lunding K. (A),
- 60', Etim M. ↓, Veltz M. ↑,
- 60', Dedes V. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
- 68', Segun ↓, Kirchheiner M. ↑,
- 68', Kubel M. ↓, Kaastrup M. ↑,
- 68', Egerton E. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
- 68', de Claville Berthelsen M. ↓, Grube F. ↑,
- 70', Arndal T. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 84', Schmidt N. ↓, Lyshoj J. ↑,
- 85', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
- 90+2', Kaastrup M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aarhus Fremad
38.5% | Draw
26.4% | Hillerød
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus Fremad's performance.Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hillerød might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus Fremad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hillerød could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(3.15) |
3.69 ↑
(3.5) |
2.87 ↑
(2.1) |
2.5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- Recent performances by Aarhus Fremad have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hillerød is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hillerød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus Fremad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Hillerød?
Aarhus Fremad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Aarhus Fremad?
Hillerød has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød were as follows:
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kolding IF | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Horsens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Hillerod | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Koge | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | B.93 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Hvidovre IF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Aarhus Fremad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Hobro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
