Result
2:2
07/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 13
- Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (282/333) | 85% (305/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (282/333) | 85% (305/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 59% (34/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (45/68) | 66% (58/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', Quiroga M. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Cervantes A. (Pen),
- 30', Rea Mendieta G. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Mansilla A. ⚽, Palacio D. (A),
- 43', Meza P. 🟨,
- 43', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Guerra J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rojas J. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
- 46', Alaca J. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 46', Rea Mendieta G. ↓, Vaca L. ↑,
- 49', Orihuela R. 🟨,
- 54', Quiroga M. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 58', Azogue P. 🟨,
- 67', Cervantes A. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 71', Torres S. 🟨,
- 76', Torrico A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 84', Galindo M. ↓, Vedia J. ↑,
- 87', Palacio D. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Rivas J. ⚽, Vaca L. (A),
- 90', Vedia J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gutierrez D. 🟥,
- 90+3', Mansilla A. 🟥,
- 90+5', Torres S. ↓, Payares M. ↑,
- 90+6', Vedia J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Guerra S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ABB
33.6% | Draw
26.4% | Nacional Potosí
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABB's form might have worsened.Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABB than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ABB - Nacional Potosí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(1.95) |
3.55 ↓
(3.85) |
2.37 ↓
(3.3) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ABB - Nacional Potosí?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nacional Potosí will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).
- Recent form of ABB has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional Potosí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- ABB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has ABB won against Nacional Potosí?
ABB has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against ABB?
Nacional Potosí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ABB - Nacional Potosí were as follows:
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
