Ceará vs ABC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Round 1

Match Stats

Yellow cards
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Lucas Lima 🟨,
  • 18', Cayo Tenorio 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 30', Matheusinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Luiz Fernando , Brunao ,
  • 46', Joao Pedro , Wellington Carvalho ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Wallyson ,
  • 64', Fernando , Sanchez ,
  • 65', Lucas Lima , Richardson ,
  • 65', Matheus Araujo , Melk ,
  • 65', Matheusinho , Juan Alano ,
  • 65', Fabao , Geilson ,
  • 67', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 79', Fernandinho , Lucca ,
  • 89', Wallyson , Lima ,
  • 89', Randerson 🟨,
  • 90+2', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ceará
66.9%
Draw
21.6%
ABC
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 20.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 20.3% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ABC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ABC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ceará - ABC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)
    4.19
    (4.33)
    8.01
    (5.25)
    9.1%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • ABC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ceará is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - ABC were as follows:
    28.02.2024 Ceará - ABC 2:2
    06.08.2023 Ceará - ABC 1:0
    Latest results of Ceará
    21.03.2026 Ceará - São Bernardo 1:1
    17.03.2026 São Bernardo - Ceará 0:1
    12.03.2026 Maranhão - Ceará 0:1
    08.03.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:2
    01.03.2026 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
    Latest results of ABC
    21.03.2026 ABC - América RN 1:2
    18.03.2026 América RN - ABC 1:1
    14.03.2026 ABC - QFC 3:1
    08.03.2026 QFC - ABC 1:3
    25.02.2026 Madureira - ABC 1:0
    Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ASA32105:237
    2Vitoria32019:546
    3Sousa32016:246
    4Fluminense-PI31113:304
    5Itabaiana30120:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Confianca32014:406
    2Juazeirense31115:504
    3Botafogo PB31114:5-14
    4Piaui31021:3-23
    5CRB30122:6-41


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Recife33006:159
    2Ferroviario32014:316
    3Ceara31114:404
    4America RN31112:3-14
    5Imperatriz30122:4-21


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Retro32014:406
    2Fortaleza32013:306
    3ABC31114:224
    4Jacuipense30121:3-21
    5Maranhao30123:6-31

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