Result
1:3
29/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa do Nordeste - Round 5
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 30', 0 - 1, Lucca ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Fernandinho ⚽,
- 37', Lucas Santos 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 3, Matheus Araujo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pimentinha ↓, Rafael Teixeira ↑,
- 46', Felipe Cruz ↓, Joelson ↑,
- 46', Gustavo Prado ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 46', Alex Silva ↓, Eder ↑,
- 46', Felipe Sales 🟨,
- 46', Matheus Araujo ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 59', Lucca ↓, Sanchez ↑,
- 60', Diego 🟨,
- 64', Edson Fernando ↓, Will ↑,
- 65', Jorge Rocha ↓, Vagalume ↑,
- 67', Fernandinho ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 3, Vagalume ⚽,
- 86', Ramos R. 🟨,
- 87', Ball ↓, Rosivan ↑,
- 89', Joelson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Maranhão
11.4% | Draw
20.7% | Ceará
67.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maranhão - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.01 ↑
(5.64) |
4.36 ↑
(3.64) |
1.36 ↓
(1.53) |
9.2%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Maranhão is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Maranhão has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ceará is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Maranhão won against Ceará?
Maranhão has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Maranhão?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maranhão - Ceará were as follows:
12.03.2026
Maranhão
-
Ceará
0:1
Latest results of Maranhão
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | ASA | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Sousa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Fluminense-PI | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Itabaiana | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Confianca | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | CRB | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Piaui | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sport Recife ✔ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Ceara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Ferroviario | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | America RN | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 5 | Imperatriz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ABC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Retro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
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