Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/387) | 77% (250/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/387) | 77% (250/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/57) | 35% (22/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (85/139) | 66% (75/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, Nisbet K. ⚽, Keskinen T. (A),
- 15', Samuels I. 🟨,
- 39', Nisbet K. 🟨,
- 39', Morrison L. 🟥,
- 40', 1 - 1, Murray S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', Keskinen T. ↓, Milne J. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Cotterill J. ⚽,
- 45+3', Murray S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Afeez A. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
- 68', Olusanya T. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Nisbet K. ⚽,
- 69', Lazetic M. 🟨,
- 77', Devlin N. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 3, Hamilton E. ⚽,
- 86', Yogane T. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
- 87', Murray S. ↓, Valenzuela F. ↑,
- 90+1', Frame M. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 90+1', Congreve C. ↓, Robertson F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
48.6% | Draw
26.2% | Dundee
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aberdeen's form might have worsened.Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Aberdeen - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.72) |
3.6 ↑
(3.58) |
3.72 ↓
(4.64) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Dundee?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Dundee will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Dundee (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 5.
- Aberdeen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dundee is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Dundee has had a series of away games.
- Aberdeen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
Knoester M.
(Injury)
Suman N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dundee: Hay A.
(Inactive)
Koumetio B.
(Knee Injury)
Robertson C.
(Thigh Injury)
Westley J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundee: Halliday B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:14. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Dundee?
Aberdeen has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Aberdeen?
Dundee has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Dundee were as follows:
06.12.2025
Dundee
-
Aberdeen
1:3
05.10.2025
Aberdeen
-
Dundee
4:0
15.02.2025
Dundee
-
Aberdeen
1:2
09.11.2024
Aberdeen
-
Dundee
4:1
28.09.2024
Dundee
-
Aberdeen
1:2
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
