Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 34
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (207/302) | 75% (322/428) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (207/302) | 75% (322/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (14/50) | 41% (31/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (78/130) | 59% (71/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 17% (5/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Afeez A. ⚽, Armstrong S. (A),
- 5', Brandon J. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Frame M. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 59', Cameron L. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
- 64', Stanger G. 🟨,
- 67', Lowery T. 🟨,
- 68', Schjonning-Larsen M. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 72', Afeez A. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
- 72', Armstrong S. ↓, Knoester M. ↑,
- 77', Kiltie G. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
- 78', Clescenco N. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 78', Deas R. 🟨,
- 81', Milne J. ↓, Bwomono E. ↑,
- 84', Lowery T. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
- 87', Olusanya T. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 87', Curtis F. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 90', Morrison L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Magennis K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
47.8% | Draw
26.8% | Kilmarnock
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Aberdeen - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.93) |
3.5 ↑
(3.46) |
3.69 ↑
(3.6) |
6.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 3.
- Aberdeen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kilmarnock has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Aberdeen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Devlin N.
(Knee Injury)
Knoester M.
(Head Injury)
McIntyre T.
(Inactive)
Suman N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Geiger D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: John-Jules T.
(Muscle Injury)
Schjonning-Larsen M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Kilmarnock were as follows:
31.01.2026
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
3:0
14.12.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:1
29.10.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
0:1
22.02.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
26.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
4:0
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 48:57 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 36:50 | -14 | 37 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35:56 | -21 | 36 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 40:66 | -26 | 31 |
| 11 | St. Mirren | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 27:51 | -24 | 30 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 35 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39:68 | -29 | 20 |
Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Livingston is Relegated to Championship
