Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 29
- Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (255/359) | 66% (212/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (255/359) | 66% (212/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/70) | 28% (18/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (92/149) | 51% (36/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Halkett C. 🟨,
- 17', McCart J. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Braga C. ⚽, Kabore P. (A),
- 44', Shinnie G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shinnie G. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 46', Keskinen T. ↓, Frame M. ↑,
- 64', Geiger D. 🟨,
- 64', Spittal B. 🟨,
- 66', Cameron L. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 70', Devlin N. 🟨,
- 71', Devlin N. ↓, Lobban D. ↑,
- 79', Olusanya T. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 84', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
- 87', Milne J. 🟨,
- 87', Spittal B. ↓, Baningime B. ↑,
- 88', Braga C. ↓, Chesnokov I. ↑,
- 90+4', Frame M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hearts
65.2% | Draw
21.3% | Aberdeen
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Hearts - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.4) |
4.5 ↑
(4.39) |
6.91 ↓
(7.33) |
5.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hearts - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 1.
- Hearts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aberdeen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hearts is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Thigh Injury)
Devlin C.
(Ankle Injury)
Findlay S.
(Thigh Injury)
Kingsley S.
(Groin Injury)
McEntee O.
(Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shankland L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Armstrong S.
(Calf Injury)
Knoester M.
(Injury)
Suman N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
McIntyre T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Aberdeen?
Hearts has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Hearts?
Aberdeen has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Aberdeen were as follows:
23.11.2025
Aberdeen
-
Hearts
1:0
04.08.2025
Hearts
-
Aberdeen
2:0
19.04.2025
Hearts
-
Aberdeen
1:2
12.01.2025
Aberdeen
-
Hearts
0:0
01.12.2024
Hearts
-
Aberdeen
1:1
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Celtic ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:32 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Rangers ✔ | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 60 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 38:48 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
