Result
3:0
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 24
- Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Nigeria | Red TV |
United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/450) | 83% (313/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/450) | 83% (313/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (132/168) | 60% (49/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Shinnie G. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Lyons B. ⚽, Kiltie G. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Anderson B. ⚽, John-Jules T. (A),
- 35', Knoester M. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 42', Watson D. 🟨,
- 45+7', Morrison L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bilalovic K. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 51', Shinnie G. 🟥,
- 56', Nisbet K. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
- 58', Watson D. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, John-Jules T. ⚽, Anderson B. (A),
- 63', Kiltie G. ↓, Curtis F. ↑,
- 66', Keskinen T. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 66', Frame M. ↓, Jensen A. ↑,
- 66', Cameron L. ↓, Kjartansson K. ↑,
- 78', Polworth L. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 78', Anderson B. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 83', Thompson D. 🟨,
- 84', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
- 88', John-Jules T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 90+4', Schilte-Brown E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock 31.7% | Draw 28.6% | Aberdeen 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kilmarnock - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.88) |
3.31 ↑ (3.12) |
2.38 ↓ (2.46) |
6.2% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
- Kilmarnock has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aberdeen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Lowery T.
(Red Card)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Milne J.
(Red Card)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brown J.
(Inactive)
Watkins M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Aberdeen were as follows:
14.12.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:1
29.10.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
0:1
22.02.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
26.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
4:0
25.08.2024
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:0
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 48:20 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Rangers | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 42:18 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | Celtic | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 43 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29:32 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | St. Mirren | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 18:31 | -13 | 23 |
| 10 | Dundee FC | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
| 12 | Livingston | 25 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 25:52 | -27 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )