Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 17
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (466/543) | 68% (170/251) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (466/543) | 68% (170/251) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 22% (12/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (108/148) | 55% (61/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, John-Jules T. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jensen A. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 51', Stanger G. 🟨,
- 57', Deas R. 🟨,
- 61', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 65', Polvara D. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 65', John-Jules T. ↓, Kiltie G. ↑,
- 69', Brown J. 🟨,
- 72', Keskinen T. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 73', Anderson B. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 75', Lazetic M. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Bilalovic K. ⚽, Nisbet K. (A),
- 82', 2 - 1, Karlsson J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Lyons B. ↓, Brannan B. ↑,
- 86', Lowery T. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 86', Stanger G. ↓, Schilte-Brown E. ↑,
- 88', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Polworth L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aberdeen
53.7% | Draw
26.7% | Kilmarnock
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aberdeen - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.9) |
3.53 ↑
(3.47) |
4.77 ↑
(4.11) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
Aberdeen will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aberdeen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 4.
- Recent performances by Aberdeen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kilmarnock is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kilmarnock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aberdeen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G.
(Knee Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:3. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Kilmarnock were as follows:
29.10.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
0:1
22.02.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
26.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
4:0
25.08.2024
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:0
09.03.2024
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
3:1
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 38:17 | 21 | 41 |
| 2 | Celtic | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Rangers | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 33 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 31 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 28:29 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:23 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 24 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 13 |
| 12 | Livingston | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
