Result
0:1
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 10
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Nigeria | Red TV |
United-kingdom | Killie TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (357/455) | 72% (265/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (357/455) | 72% (265/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/77) | 27% (25/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (85/141) | 51% (52/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Armstrong S. ⚽,
- 25', Shinnie G. 🟨,
- 31', Lazetic M. 🟨,
- 33', Watson D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Lyons B. 🟨,
- 63', Polworth L. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 66', Deas R. 🟨,
- 67', Karlsson J. 🟨,
- 67', Stanger G. 🟨,
- 71', Lazetic M. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
- 73', Kiltie G. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
- 78', Lobban D. 🟨,
- 81', Polvara D. 🟨,
- 82', Lyons B. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
- 82', Williams Z. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 90+2', Mitov D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock 35.3% | Draw 28% | Aberdeen 36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kilmarnock - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↑ (2.49) |
3.38 ↑ (3.37) |
2.58 ↓ (2.78) |
5.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Watkins M.
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
Nilsen S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Aberdeen were as follows:
22.02.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
26.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
4:0
25.08.2024
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:0
09.03.2024
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
3:1
24.02.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
2:0
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29:10 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Celtic | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Rangers | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:17 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | St. Mirren | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )