Result
3:0
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 24
- Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/450) | 83% (313/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/450) | 83% (313/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (132/168) | 60% (49/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Shinnie G. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Lyons B. ⚽, Kiltie G. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Anderson B. ⚽, John-Jules T. (A),
- 35', Knoester M. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 42', Watson D. 🟨,
- 45+7', Morrison L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bilalovic K. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 51', Shinnie G. 🟥,
- 56', Nisbet K. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
- 58', Watson D. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, John-Jules T. ⚽, Anderson B. (A),
- 63', Kiltie G. ↓, Curtis F. ↑,
- 66', Keskinen T. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 66', Frame M. ↓, Jensen A. ↑,
- 66', Cameron L. ↓, Kjartansson K. ↑,
- 78', Polworth L. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 78', Anderson B. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 83', Thompson D. 🟨,
- 84', Kjartansson K. 🟨,
- 88', John-Jules T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 90+4', Schilte-Brown E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
31.7% | Draw
28.6% | Aberdeen
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Kilmarnock - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.88) |
3.31 ↑
(3.12) |
2.38 ↓
(2.46) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
- Kilmarnock has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Aberdeen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Ankle Injury)
Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Lowery T.
(Red Card)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Stryjek M.
(Heart Problems)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Milne J.
(Red Card)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brown J.
(Inactive)
Watkins M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Aberdeen were as follows:
14.12.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:1
29.10.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
0:1
22.02.2025
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
26.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Aberdeen
4:0
25.08.2024
Aberdeen
-
Kilmarnock
2:0
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 52:24 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 28:39 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22:43 | -21 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
