Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 6
- Referee: Lee R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Motherwell TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (561/619) | 80% (290/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (561/619) | 80% (290/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (32/47) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (92/123) | 58% (45/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Knoester M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gyamfi E. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 46', Knoester M. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
- 55', Tobers K. 🟨,
- 61', Shinnie G. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
- 61', Tobers K. ↓, Jensen A. ↑,
- 72', Palaversa A. 🟨,
- 74', O'Donnell S. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
- 80', Nisbet K. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 85', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Koutroumbis J. ⚽,
- 90+4', Welsh S. ↓, Balmer K. ↑,
- 90+4', Said I. ↓, Halliday A. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 0, Stamatelopoulos A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Motherwell
43.8% | Draw
28.2% | Aberdeen
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motherwell's performance.Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aberdeen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motherwell that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aberdeen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motherwell - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.51) |
3.35 ↑
(3.33) |
3.41 ↑
(2.67) |
4.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 50%). Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 2.
- Motherwell is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aberdeen has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Motherwell has had a series of away games.
- Motherwell will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sparrow T.
(Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Aberdeen?
Motherwell has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Motherwell?
Aberdeen has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Aberdeen were as follows:
20.09.2025
Aberdeen
-
Motherwell
0:1
29.03.2025
Aberdeen
-
Motherwell
4:1
05.01.2025
Motherwell
-
Aberdeen
2:0
14.09.2024
Aberdeen
-
Motherwell
2:1
27.04.2024
Aberdeen
-
Motherwell
1:0
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
