Aberdeen vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
2:3
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 12
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.96
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
68% (151/222)88% (528/602)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.121.42
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
912
Passes
68% (151/222)88% (528/602)
Long passes
20% (9/44)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
49% (33/68)76% (125/164)
Crosses
25% (3/12)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.00
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
129
Tackles
69% (11/16)60% (12/20)
Duels won
3549
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.422.12
Goals prevented
-1.580.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Karlsson J. (Pen),
  • 20', Henrique P. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Nazaryna Y. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', Karlsson J. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Lucas Ferreira ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
  • 60', 1 - 3, Henrique P. ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
  • 65', Armstrong S. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
  • 66', Palaversa A. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
  • 66', Clarkson L. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
  • 67', Lazetic M. 🟨,
  • 67', Matviienko M. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 3, Devlin N. ⚽, Lazetic M. (A),
  • 71', Nilsen S. 🟨,
  • 75', Devlin N. 🟨,
  • 75', Pedrinho ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
  • 76', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
  • 83', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
  • 86', Karlsson J. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
  • 86', Devlin N. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
  • 90+1', Riznyk D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Marlon Gomes ↓, Ghram A. ↑,
  • 90+3', Tobias V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aberdeen
19.9%		Draw
23.8%		Shakhtar Donetsk
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 23.3% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 22.8% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.13 ↑
    (4.9)    		 4.35 ↑
    (4)    		 1.92 ↑
    (1.62)    		 -5.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Aberdeen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shakhtar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Aberdeen: Jensen A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Injury) Traore L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Aberdeen
    27.09.2025 Motherwell - Aberdeen 2:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Dundee United - Aberdeen 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Aberdeen - Motherwell 0:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Aberdeen - Livingston 0:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Aberdeen - Falkirk 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    28.09.2025 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:4 ✺
    22.09.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk 1:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 Polissya Stavky - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:1
    13.09.2025 Metalist 1925 - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Oleksandriya 2:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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