Aberdeen vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen).

Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	0.96
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
68% (151/222)	88% (528/602)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.12	1.42
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
15	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
68% (151/222)	88% (528/602)
Long passes
20% (9/44)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
49% (33/68)	76% (125/164)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	1.00
Throw-ins
24	18
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
69% (11/16)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
35	49
Clearances
16	17
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.42	2.12
Goals prevented
-1.58	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Karlsson J. (Pen),
20', Henrique P. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Nazaryna Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Karlsson J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Lucas Ferreira ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
60', 1 - 3, Henrique P. ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
65', Armstrong S. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
66', Palaversa A. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
66', Clarkson L. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
67', Lazetic M. 🟨,
67', Matviienko M. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Devlin N. ⚽, Lazetic M. (A),
71', Nilsen S. 🟨,
75', Devlin N. 🟨,
75', Pedrinho ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
76', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
83', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
86', Karlsson J. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
86', Devlin N. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
90+1', Riznyk D. 🟨,
90+2', Marlon Gomes ↓, Ghram A. ↑,
90+3', Tobias V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Aberdeen
19.9%

Draw
23.8%

Shakhtar Donetsk
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.3%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.8%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.9)	4.35 ↑ (4)	1.92 ↑ (1.62)	-5.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk?

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Aberdeen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Shakhtar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Aberdeen: Jensen A. (Red Card)
There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Khromey M. (Inactive) Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Topalov D. (Inactive) Udod D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Injury) Traore L. (Muscle Injury)
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Latest results of Aberdeen

27.09.2025 Motherwell - Aberdeen 2:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Dundee United - Aberdeen 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Aberdeen - Motherwell 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Aberdeen - Livingston 0:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Aberdeen - Falkirk 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk

28.09.2025 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:4 ✺

22.09.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Polissya Stavky - Shakhtar Donetsk 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Metalist 1925 - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Oleksandriya 2:0 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zrinjski	1	1	0	0	5:0	5	3
2	AEK Larnaca	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
6	Celje	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	Rakow	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
11	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Mainz	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
14	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
16	Noah	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
17	Drita	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	KuPS	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Hacken	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
20	Shelbourne	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
21	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
22	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
23	Rijeka	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
24	Omonia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
25	Legia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
26	Hamrun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
27	AEK Athens FC	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
28	Sigma Olomouc	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
29	Dyn. Kyiv	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	Shkendija	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Univ. Craiova	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	SK Rapid	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Breidablik	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
35	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
36	Lincoln Red Imps	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

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