Result
2:3
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 12 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (151/222) | 88% (528/602) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (151/222) | 88% (528/602) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (9/44) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 76% (125/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.58 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Karlsson J. (Pen),
- 20', Henrique P. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Nazaryna Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', Karlsson J. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Lucas Ferreira ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
- 60', 1 - 3, Henrique P. ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
- 65', Armstrong S. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 66', Palaversa A. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
- 66', Clarkson L. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
- 67', Lazetic M. 🟨,
- 67', Matviienko M. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 3, Devlin N. ⚽, Lazetic M. (A),
- 71', Nilsen S. 🟨,
- 75', Devlin N. 🟨,
- 75', Pedrinho ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
- 76', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 83', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
- 86', Karlsson J. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
- 86', Devlin N. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
- 90+1', Riznyk D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Marlon Gomes ↓, Ghram A. ↑,
- 90+3', Tobias V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aberdeen 19.9% | Draw 23.8% | Shakhtar Donetsk 56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.13 ↑ (4.9) |
4.35 ↑ (4) |
1.92 ↑ (1.62) |
-5.4% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Shakhtar (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +1.25 - Shakhtar (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Shakhtar (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - Shakhtar (3.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Shakhtar Donetsk will win
(40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 3 - 8.8%). Shakhtar (votes: 30 - 88.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Aberdeen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shakhtar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shakhtar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Jensen A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson
(Foot Injury)
Khromey M.
(Inactive)
Kornienko V.
(Inactive)
Petryak I.
(Inactive)
Savchenko R.
(Inactive)
Topalov D.
(Inactive)
Udod D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo
(Injury)
Traore L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Aberdeen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Aberdeen?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
Latest results of Aberdeen
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal