Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Obah P. ⚽, Luca Meirelles (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Malysh N. ⚽,
- 58', Luca Meirelles ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
- 58', Newerton ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
- 60', Dryshlyuk K. 🟨,
- 64', Vantukh R. ↓, Slesar A. ↑,
- 73', Obah P. ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 73', Kaua Elias ↓, Traore L. ↑,
- 80', Malysh N. 🟨,
- 81', Andjusic N. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Bondarenko A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Andjusic N. ↓, Bah S. ↑,
- 85', Popara D. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
- 85', Dryshlyuk K. ↓, Zadorozhnyi F. ↑,
- 90+1', Marlon ↓, Matviienko M. ↑,
- 90+6', Jordan 🟨,
- 90+6', Kushnirenko B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zorya Luhansk 9.9% | Draw 18.5% | Shakhtar Donetsk 71.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9.56 ↑ (8.4) |
5.09 ↑ (4.45) |
1.32 ↓ (1.36) |
6% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 0.
- Recent performances by Zorya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shakhtar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shakhtar is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zorya Luhansk won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Zorya Luhansk has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Zorya Luhansk?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
22.09.2025
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Zorya Luhansk
1:0
09.05.2025
Zorya Luhansk
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
0:0
10.11.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Zorya Luhansk
3:1
30.10.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Zorya Luhansk
1:0
22.04.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Zorya Luhansk
2:1
Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 59:16 | 43 | 60 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 36:16 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44:17 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 58:31 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Kolos Kovalivka | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Kryvbas | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Karpaty Lviv | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Veres-Rivne | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Obolon | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 22:42 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 18:49 | -31 | 13 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20:63 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga