Result
0:2
21/01/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/336) | 74% (240/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/336) | 74% (240/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 50% (40/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (50/89) | 68% (86/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Agi ⚽, Al Mutairi M. (A),
- 26', Morato 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Al Sahli A. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
- 56', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 2, Agi ⚽, Sow S. (A),
- 65', Abuyabes M. 🟨,
- 73', Al Mutairi M. 🟨,
- 74', Al Rahmani S. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
- 81', Abuyabes M. ↓, Al Fahad A. ↑,
- 82', Al Mhemaid A. ↓, Kadan W. ↑,
- 82', Morato ↓, Al Badah A. ↑,
- 82', Barnawi Y. ↓, Haddad S. ↑,
- 84', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
- 90', Al Daajani N. ↓, Boumedmed K. ↑,
- 90', Agi ↓, Ibrahim Y. Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Boumedmed K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Faisaly
31% | Draw
29.5% | Abha
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Faisaly's form might have worsened.Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Al-Faisaly - Abha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.51) |
3.07 ↓
(3.46) |
2.29 ↓
(2.47) |
10.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Faisaly - Abha?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Abha will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1.
- Al-Faisaly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Abha is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Faisaly won against Abha?
Al-Faisaly has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Abha won against Al-Faisaly?
Abha has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Faisaly - Abha were as follows:
11.09.2025
Abha
-
Al-Faisaly
2:2
18.02.2025
Al-Faisaly
-
Abha
2:2
01.10.2024
Abha
-
Al-Faisaly
3:1
Latest results of Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 59:22 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 62 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Al-Faisaly | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 56:33 | 23 | 52 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:35 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 45 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Anwar | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 42:41 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 34 |
| 13 | Al Wehda | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 42:51 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 34:63 | -29 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14:51 | -37 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 29:57 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24:57 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
