Al-Faisaly vs Abha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/01/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.911.26
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
210
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
23
Passes
77% (259/336)74% (240/324)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.911.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.47
Total shots
918
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
239
Passes
77% (259/336)74% (240/324)
Long passes
52% (27/52)50% (40/80)
Passes in final third
56% (50/89)68% (86/126)
Crosses
22% (2/9)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.75
Throw ins
2325
Fouls
923
Tackles
67% (10/15)79% (19/24)
Duels won
6250
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
82
xGOT faced
1.470.76
Goals prevented
-0.530.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Agi , Al Mutairi M. (A),
  • 26', Morato 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Sahli A. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 56', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Agi , Sow S. (A),
  • 65', Abuyabes M. 🟨,
  • 73', Al Mutairi M. 🟨,
  • 74', Al Rahmani S. , Al Mogren A. ,
  • 81', Abuyabes M. , Al Fahad A. ,
  • 82', Al Mhemaid A. , Kadan W. ,
  • 82', Morato , Al Badah A. ,
  • 82', Barnawi Y. , Haddad S. ,
  • 84', Al Oufi M. , Al Mousa H. ,
  • 90', Al Daajani N. , Boumedmed K. ,
  • 90', Agi , Ibrahim Y. Y. ,
  • 90+2', Boumedmed K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Faisaly
31%
Draw
29.5%
Abha
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 26.5% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 27.2% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Faisaly's form might have worsened.
  • Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Al-Faisaly - Abha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.51)
    3.07
    (3.46)
    2.29
    (2.47)
    10.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Faisaly - Abha?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Abha will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1.
    • Al-Faisaly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Abha is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Faisaly - Abha were as follows:
    11.09.2025 Abha - Al-Faisaly 2:2
    18.02.2025 Al-Faisaly - Abha 2:2
    01.10.2024 Abha - Al-Faisaly 3:1
    Latest results of Al-Faisaly
    16.01.2026 Al-Batin - Al-Faisaly 1:2
    11.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    06.01.2026 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 2:1
    01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3
    26.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Jeddah 0:0
    Latest results of Abha
    17.01.2026 Abha - Al Raed 2:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Abha 1:2
    05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    31.12.2025 Al-Batin - Abha 0:1
    26.12.2025 Abha - Al-Taee 3:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation