Al-Faisaly vs Al-Bukayriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 07:25 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.060.24
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
43
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
73
Passes
76% (266/350)74% (222/300)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.060.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.25
Total shots
137
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
20
Shots inside the box
74
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
02
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
147
Passes
76% (266/350)74% (222/300)
Long passes
48% (29/61)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
57% (53/93)69% (47/68)
Crosses
27% (6/22)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.87
Throw ins
2518
Fouls
714
Tackles
87% (13/15)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5337
Clearances
1626
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.250.29
Goals prevented
-1.75-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Eduardo Henrique , Al Harbi H. ,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Al Shuwayyi K. , Jaafari I. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Raphael Silva , Al Badah A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Shereaf A. , Al Fuhaid M. ,
  • 69', Al Harbi H. , Haddad M. ,
  • 72', Jaafari I. , Al Malki M. ,
  • 73', Kaabi N. 🟨,
  • 74', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
  • 81', Kaabi N. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 84', Raphael Silva 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Al Shuwayyi K. , Faik H. (A),
  • 90+2', Al Nakhli M. , Al Sahli A. ,
  • 90+2', Doshy M. , Al Mogren A. ,
  • 90+7', Fallatah S. , Al Barakah I. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Faisaly
46.2%
Draw
28.4%
Al-Bukayriyah
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.7% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 29.2% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Faisaly's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.75)
    3.2
    (3.43)
    3.59
    (4.36)
    9.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Al-Faisaly has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Bukayriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Al-Faisaly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Faisaly 1:1
    03.11.2024 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 0:1
    03.03.2024 Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah 5:2
    03.10.2023 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Faisaly 0:0
    Latest results of Al-Faisaly
    06.01.2026 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 2:1
    01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3
    26.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Jeddah 0:0
    20.12.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly 0:4
    14.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Orobah 0:0
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    06.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Batin 5:1
    31.12.2025 Jeddah - Al-Bukayriyah 1:1
    19.12.2025 Al-Anwar - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    12.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee 1:2
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 31245263:273677
    2Al Diriyah31206572:333966
    3Al-Faisaly311810368:323664
    4Al-Ula31188564:303462
    5Al Orubah31175947:371056
    6Al Jabalain31158854:361853
    7Al Raed31139956:411548
    8Al Zulfi3111101041:38343
    9Al Bukiryah311261334:43-942
    10Al Taee311181244:45-141
    11Al Wehda311171350:54-440
    12Al Anwar319111147:47038
    13Jeddah318111231:45-1435
    14Al Jandal31781629:54-2529
    15Al Adalah31591739:69-3024
    16Al Batin31462135:64-2918
    17Al Arabi31462118:57-3918
    18Al Jubail31352325:65-4014

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League