Abha vs Al Raed – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.431.07
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
33
Passes
78% (224/287)81% (278/344)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.431.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.52
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1117
Passes
78% (224/287)81% (278/344)
Long passes
51% (31/61)58% (40/69)
Passes in final third
48% (40/83)59% (61/103)
Crosses
30% (3/10)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.91
Throw ins
1126
Fouls
1711
Tackles
85% (11/13)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.521.74
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Gano Z. , Bouzok Y. (A),
  • 30', Taira A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Al Dossary M. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 1, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Taira A. 🟨,
  • 70', Al Jayzani F. 🟨,
  • 75', Al Shaikh M. , Sunbul Y. ,
  • 75', Shami A. , Al Salouli S. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Muralha ,
  • 86', Abdulrazaq F. , Al Shanqiti W. ,
  • 90', Al Ghamdi F. , Al Mousa H. ,
  • 90', Al Jayzani F. , Ibrahim Y. Y. ,
  • 90+5', Al Mutairi M. , Al Manhali S. ,
  • 90+6', Al Oufi M. , Al Mutairi B. ,

Chances of winning


Abha
47.8%
Draw
25.6%
Al Raed
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 25.7% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 23.8% 25.6%

Abha - Al Raed Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(1.96)
3.53
(3.56)
3.4
(3.32)
10.7%
(9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Abha - Al Raed?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 2.
    • Abha has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Al Raed is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Abha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Abha - Al Raed were as follows:
    29.12.2023 Al Raed - Abha 4:3
    19.08.2023 Abha - Al Raed 1:0
    10.02.2023 Al Raed - Abha 3:1
    27.08.2022 Abha - Al Raed 2:1
    Latest results of Abha
    11.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Abha 1:2
    05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    31.12.2025 Al-Batin - Abha 0:1
    26.12.2025 Abha - Al-Taee 3:1
    21.12.2025 Jeddah - Abha 1:1
    Latest results of Al Raed
    13.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Zulfi 1:2
    07.01.2026 Al Raed - Al-Ula 3:2
    01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3
    26.12.2025 Al Raed - Al-Diriyah 2:3
    21.12.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Raed 0:0
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha18143139:142545
    2Al Diriyah17113335:191636
    3Al Orubah17104326:19734
    4Al Jabalain1896333:171633
    5Al Bukiryah17102522:18432
    6Al-Ula1787235:161931
    7Jeddah1869321:16527
    8Al-Faisaly1768325:18726
    9Al Raed1765628:26223
    10Al Taee1756623:23021
    11Al Jandal1855813:27-1420
    12Al Anwar1847722:24-219
    13Al Wehda1754824:30-619
    14Al Zulfi1746717:21-418
    15Al Adalah1735921:33-1214
    16Al Arabi1834117:26-1913
    17Al Jubail17141211:32-217
    18Al Batin17041317:40-234

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation