Abha vs Al-Taee – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/12/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.05
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
76% (268/351)73% (241/328)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.781.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.521.10
Total shots
147
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
76% (268/351)73% (241/328)
Long passes
52% (32/62)26% (13/50)
Passes in final third
67% (67/100)51% (40/79)
Crosses
40% (4/10)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.30
Throw-ins
2233
Fouls
1310
Tackles
79% (15/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2118
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.101.52
Goals prevented
0.10-1.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Al Mutair M. 🟨,
  • 17', Al Mousa H. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Al Ghamdi F. , Sow S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Al Mutair M. , Al Quamiri N. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Sow S. ,
  • 54', Al Harthi A. M. 🟨,
  • 63', Al Harthi A. M. , Al Habib H. ,
  • 73', Taira A. , Al Daajani N. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Knoll T. , Al Habib H. (A),
  • 79', Haquin L. 🟨,
  • 83', Al Ghamdi F. , Al Sulays H. ,
  • 83', Abuyabes M. , Al Manhali S. ,
  • 84', Al Hamad F. 🟨,
  • 87', Al Johani S. , Al Alawi A. ,
  • 87', Halilovic D. , Al Hamyani A. ,
  • 87', Al Hamad F. , Al Saiari M. ,
  • 90+4', Al Mutairi M. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Muralha , Asiri W. ,
  • 90+9', Al Oufi M. , Al Shammari H. ,
  • 90+9', Al Jayzani F. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 1, Al Mutairi M. , Al Mousa H. (A),
  • 90+12', Gaari J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Abha
49.4%
Draw
26.3%
Al-Taee
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.6% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 22.6% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abha's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Taee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Taee's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taee than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Taee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Abha - Al-Taee Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.56)
    3.47
    (3.88)
    3.75
    (5.12)
    9.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Abha - Al-Taee?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Al-Taee will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Abha: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Taee (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 1.
    • Abha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Taee has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Abha is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Abha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Abha - Al-Taee were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Abha - Al-Taee 0:1
    12.01.2025 Al-Taee - Abha 2:1
    01.03.2024 Abha - Al-Taee 2:0
    01.09.2023 Al-Taee - Abha 1:0
    16.12.2022 Abha - Al-Taee 2:1
    Latest results of Abha
    21.12.2025 Jeddah - Abha 1:1
    12.12.2025 Abha - Al-Ula 2:0
    27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0
    22.11.2025 Al Jubail - Abha 0:3
    09.11.2025 Abha - Al Jandal 4:1
    Latest results of Al-Taee
    20.12.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly 0:4
    12.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee 1:2
    29.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    21.11.2025 Al-Anwar - Al-Taee 0:2
    07.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:2
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation