Abha vs Al-Ula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.73
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
69% (164/237)82% (312/381)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.380.44
Total shots
623
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
19
Blocked Shots
19
Shots inside the Box
215
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
69% (164/237)82% (312/381)
Long passes
44% (26/59)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
52% (34/66)69% (83/120)
Crosses
36% (4/11)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.82
Throw-ins
2432
Fouls
1712
Tackles
82% (18/22)93% (14/15)
Duels won
4555
Clearances
3012
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.440.38
Goals prevented
0.44-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Ibrahim Y. Y. , Al Mousa H. ,
  • 35', Al Ruwaili K. 🟨,
  • 42', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Al Fahad A. , Abuyabes M. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Al Ruwaili K. (Own goal),
  • 60', 2 - 0, Sow S. , Al Mutairi M. (A),
  • 62', Al Shammari H. , Al Daajani N. ,
  • 64', Al Majhad M. , Al Khulaif A. ,
  • 64', Guanca C. , Al Jizani F. ,
  • 87', Al Ghamdi F. , Al Manhali S. ,
  • 87', Al Zahrani H. , Asiri W. ,
  • 87', Al Ruwaili K. , Al Asmari F. ,
  • 90+3', Al Asmari F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Taira A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Abha
40.1%
Draw
28.2%
Al-Ula
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 28.4% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 27.9% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Al-Ula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Abha - Al-Ula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.51)
    3.23
    (3.22)
    2.87
    (2.6)
    9.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • Abha has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Al-Ula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Abha
    27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0
    22.11.2025 Al Jubail - Abha 0:3
    09.11.2025 Abha - Al Jandal 4:1
    03.11.2025 Al-Anwar - Abha 0:2
    28.10.2025 Abha - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 3:0
    Latest results of Al-Ula
    27.11.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Ula 1:1
    22.11.2025 Al-Ula - Jeddah 1:1
    08.11.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Ula 0:1
    03.11.2025 Al-Ula - Al-Faisaly 2:2
    27.10.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Ula 1:5
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation