Result
1:2
09/04/2026 at 12:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/344) | 78% (235/302) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/344) | 78% (235/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 52% (29/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/106) | 73% (70/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Agi 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 1 - 1, Al Majhad M. ⚽,
- 45+2', Ibrahim Y. Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Al Shamrani H. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Muralha ⚽, Al Mutairi M. (A),
- 65', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
- 73', Ibrahim Y. Y. ↓, Al Zahrani H. ↑,
- 73', Agi ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
- 76', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Ruwaili K. ↑,
- 76', Haqawi Y. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
- 78', Al Daajani N. ↓, Al Jayzani F. ↑,
- 86', Al Majhad M. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
- 87', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,
- 87', Muralha ↓, Al Shammari H. ↑,
- 90+5', Adam A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Al-Ula
46.8% | Draw
26% | Abha
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ula's performance.Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Al-Ula - Abha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.2) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
3.35 ↑
(2.87) |
9.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ula - Abha?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Ula will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Al-Ula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Ula will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Abha?
Al-Ula has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Abha won against Al-Ula?
Abha has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ula - Abha were as follows:
12.12.2025
Abha
-
Al-Ula
2:0
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 59:22 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 62 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Al-Faisaly | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 56:33 | 23 | 52 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:35 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 45 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Anwar | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 42:41 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 34 |
| 13 | Al Wehda | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 42:51 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 34:63 | -29 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14:51 | -37 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 29:57 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24:57 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
