Result
2:4
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Fabbri P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 48', 1 - 1, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽, Toure Y. (A),
- 49', 1 - 2, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽,
- 57', 1 - 3, Baiardi R. (Own goal),
- 71', 1 - 4, Raschi J. ⚽, Gaido G. (A),
- 89', 2 - 4, Miori M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
AC Libertas
11.4% | Draw
20.7% | Folgore
68% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
AC Libertas - Folgore Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.99 ↑
(7.47) |
4.4 ↓
(4.42) |
1.34 ↓
(1.35) |
10%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 0.
- In recent matches, AC Libertas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Folgore is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Folgore is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, AC Libertas won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, AC Libertas won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Folgore?
AC Libertas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against AC Libertas?
Folgore has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AC Libertas - Folgore were as follows:
01.11.2025
Folgore
-
AC Libertas
6:1
19.04.2025
Folgore
-
AC Libertas
3:0
21.12.2024
AC Libertas
-
Folgore
0:1
20.02.2024
Folgore
-
AC Libertas
1:1
28.10.2023
AC Libertas
-
Folgore
2:2
Latest results of AC Libertas
Latest results of Folgore
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
