Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Morelli G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Pennarossa
37.8% | Draw
28.2% | AC Libertas
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Pennarossa - AC Libertas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.26) |
3.2 ↓
(3.65) |
2.65 ↑
(2.64) |
11%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.
- Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AC Libertas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against AC Libertas?
Pennarossa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Pennarossa?
AC Libertas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - AC Libertas were as follows:
08.11.2025
AC Libertas
-
Pennarossa
2:2
08.03.2025
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
1:1
13.01.2024
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
1:4
11.04.2023
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
0:7
17.12.2022
AC Libertas
-
Pennarossa
3:3
Latest results of Pennarossa
Latest results of AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
