Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Morelli G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Pennarossa 37.8% | Draw 28.2% | AC Libertas 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Pennarossa - AC Libertas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.26) |
3.2 ↓ (3.65) |
2.65 ↑ (2.64) |
11% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 0.
- Pennarossa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AC Libertas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against AC Libertas?
Pennarossa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AC Libertas won against Pennarossa?
AC Libertas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - AC Libertas were as follows:
08.11.2025
AC Libertas
-
Pennarossa
2:2
08.03.2025
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
1:1
13.01.2024
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
1:4
11.04.2023
Pennarossa
-
AC Libertas
0:7
17.12.2022
AC Libertas
-
Pennarossa
3:3
Latest results of Pennarossa
Latest results of AC Libertas
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | Libertas (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Folgore (5) | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Domagnano (6) | |
| 5 | Tre Penne (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Cosmos (8) | Pennarossa (11) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | La Fiorita (4) | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Fiorentino (7) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Virtus (2) | Juvenes/Dogana (9) | |
| 2 | Folgore (5) | Domagnano (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Tre Penne (3) | Cosmos (8) | |
| 4 | La Fiorita (4) | Fiorentino (7) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place