Academia Puerto Cabello vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.921.04
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
55
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Passes
83% (293/353)86% (463/537)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.921.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.861.44
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2729
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
10
Free kicks
179
Passes
83% (293/353)86% (463/537)
Long passes
53% (26/49)61% (27/44)
Passes in final third
73% (62/85)73% (122/166)
Crosses
45% (9/20)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.51
Throw ins
1124
Fouls
917
Tackles
45% (5/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
2611
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.441.86
Goals prevented
0.44-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Castillo J. , Flores Barrios R. D. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Dudu ,
  • 34', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Ramos J. , Rosales R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bernard , Reinier ,
  • 46', Cassierra M. , Caua ,
  • 46', Igor Gomes , Maycon ,
  • 65', Alonso J. , Pascini K. ,
  • 72', Rosales R. , Bortagaray G. ,
  • 72', Moreno J. , Lima P. ,
  • 77', Cisse M. , Alexsander ,
  • 80', Ponce A. , Casiani L. ,
  • 80', Castillo J. , Melendez G. ,
  • 90+1', Flores Barrios R. D. , Barros J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Academia Puerto Cabello
21.3%
Draw
30.8%
Atlético Mineiro
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 29.3% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 29.6% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.43
    (4.63)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    1.96
    (1.88)
    6.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Puerto Cabello (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Puerto Cabello may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America De Cali21103:214
    2Macara21102:114
    3Alianza Atl20112:3-11
    4Tigre20111:2-11


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano21103:124
    2Puerto Cabello21012:3-13
    3Atletico-MG21013:303
    4Juventud20112:3-11


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo32103:037
    2O'Higgins32014:226
    3Millonarios31111:2-14
    4Boston River30030:4-40


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Lorenzo31204:225
    2Dep. Cuenca31111:2-14
    3Recoleta30302:203
    4Santos30212:3-12


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo RJ32107:347
    2Caracas21102:114
    3Racing Club21015:413
    4Independiente30031:7-60


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City22003:036
    2Gremio21011:103
    3Dep. Riestra20110:1-11
    4Palestino20110:2-21


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion21102:024
    2A. Italiano31113:4-14
    3Barracas Central30301:103
    4Vasco20111:2-11


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate21102:114
    2Carabobo21011:103
    3Bragantino21013:303
    4Blooming20113:4-11

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)