Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Marcos Paulo ⚽, Kaka (A),
- 27', Silva L. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 31', 2 - 0, Souza B. ⚽, Teixeira R. (A),
- 34', Rodrigues M. ↓, Rodeia M. ↑,
- 36', Sinisterra J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 3 - 0, Cuba ⚽,
- 60', Monteiro D. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
- 62', Sinisterra J. ↓, Jesus P. ↑,
- 68', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
- 68', Cuba ↓, Cascavel ↑,
- 70', Candeias D. ↓, Triana C. ↑,
- 78', Simoes J. ↓, Bura ↑,
- 78', Grilo M. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Ayiah E. ⚽,
- 83', Marcos Paulo ↓, Baixinho M. ↑,
- 87', Souza B. ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 90', Silva G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Académica Coimbra 56.9% | Draw 25.1% | União de Santarém 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.7) |
3.67 ↑ (3.4) |
5.12 ↑ (4.64) |
8.5% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Académica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Académica is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Académica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Académica Coimbra won against União de Santarém?
Académica Coimbra has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Académica Coimbra?
União de Santarém has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém were as follows:
29.11.2025
União de Santarém
-
Académica Coimbra
1:1
17.08.2025
Académica Coimbra
-
União de Santarém
1:0
04.05.2025
Académica Coimbra
-
União de Santarém
0:4
15.02.2025
União de Santarém
-
Académica Coimbra
0:0
08.12.2024
União de Santarém
-
Académica Coimbra
0:3
Latest results of Académica Coimbra
Latest results of União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )