Result
1:1
02/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Ayiah E. ⚽,
- 26', Ventura B. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Bruninho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Medalli N. ↓, Grilo M. ↑,
- 47', Bandarra M. 🟨,
- 68', Morgado T. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 68', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Duda ↑,
- 68', Ayiah E. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
- 70', Hidalgo N. 🟨,
- 78', Teixeira G. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
- 79', Bandarra M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 79', Bruninho ↓, David Rebelo ↑,
- 86', Lucas J. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
- 90+1', Aguas G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Monteiro D. ↓, Midoes R. ↑,
- 90+3', Ventura B. ↓, Marcante E. ↑,
- 90+6', Afonso A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belenenses
65.5% | Draw
21.7% | União de Santarém
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Belenenses - União de Santarém Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.52) |
4.23 ↑
(3.79) |
7.19 ↑
(5.72) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Belenenses - União de Santarém?
Users Predictions:
Belenenses will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Belenenses has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santarém's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Belenenses has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Belenenses is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against União de Santarém?
Belenenses has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Belenenses?
União de Santarém has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - União de Santarém were as follows:
08.03.2026
União de Santarém
-
Belenenses
0:2
24.01.2026
União de Santarém
-
Belenenses
2:1
02.11.2025
Belenenses
-
União de Santarém
0:2
12.01.2025
Belenenses
-
União de Santarém
2:0
29.09.2024
União de Santarém
-
Belenenses
1:2
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Mafra | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Varzim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
