Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Souza B. ⚽, Montez A. (A),
- 24', Bura 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Cuba 🟨,
- 65', Sinisterra J. ↓, Jesus P. ↑,
- 65', Souza B. ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
- 67', Medalli N. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
- 75', Cuba ↓, Triana C. ↑,
- 75', Ayiah E. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
- 76', Monteiro D. ↓, Rodeia M. ↑,
- 77', Vinhas D. 🟨,
- 87', Joao Ricardo ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
- 88', Silva L. ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
- 88', Kaka ↓, Silva G. ↑,
- 90+4', Ventura B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Baixinho M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Koume S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
União de Santarém
21.5% | Draw
27.7% | Académica Coimbra
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Académica Coimbra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↑
(3.49) |
3.3 ↑
(3.15) |
1.8 ↓
(2.05) |
9.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra?
Users Predictions:
Académica Coimbra will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 1.
- Santarém is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Académica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santarém may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Académica is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santarém won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Académica Coimbra?
União de Santarém has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Académica Coimbra won against União de Santarém?
Académica Coimbra has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra were as follows:
28.02.2026
Académica Coimbra
-
União de Santarém
3:1
29.11.2025
União de Santarém
-
Académica Coimbra
1:1
17.08.2025
Académica Coimbra
-
União de Santarém
1:0
04.05.2025
Académica Coimbra
-
União de Santarém
0:4
15.02.2025
União de Santarém
-
Académica Coimbra
0:0
Latest results of União de Santarém
Latest results of Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
