Result
4:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 13
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (190/283) | 68% (262/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (190/283) | 68% (262/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/76) | 46% (46/101) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (69/123) | 45% (41/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 84 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -1.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
- 37', Clarke O. 🟥,
- 38', Ripley C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Tafazolli R. ↓, Wilson-Brown T. ↑,
- 56', Brown C. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
- 61', Drinan A. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 61', Glatzel P. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 61', Nichols T. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 63', Rawson F. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
- 73', Snowdon J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Heath I. ⚽, Madden P. (A),
- 84', Conneely S. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
- 84', Henderson A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
37% | Draw
30.5% | Swindon Town
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.06) |
3.9 ↑
(3.48) |
4.05 ↑
(2.24) |
-16.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
- Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Swindon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Love D.
(Yellow Cards)
Whalley S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Rawson F.
(Injury)
Walton T.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Swindon Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town were as follows:
22.03.2025
Swindon Town
-
Accrington Stanley
0:0
30.11.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Swindon Town
3:2
16.11.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Swindon Town
2:2
12.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:2
28.11.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Swindon Town
3:4
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 42 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 67:41 | 26 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 77:42 | 35 | 76 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 46:62 | -16 | 52 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:62 | -22 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
