Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town
Result
4:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 13
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.360.67
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
67% (190/283)68% (262/388)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.360.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.63
Total shots
167
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
89
Passes
67% (190/283)68% (262/388)
Long passes
33% (25/76)46% (46/101)
Passes in final third
56% (69/123)45% (41/91)
Crosses
27% (3/11)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.40
Throw-ins
2939
Fouls
98
Tackles
55% (6/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5184
Clearances
4213
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.632.24
Goals prevented
0.63-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Madden P. , Henderson A. (A),
  • 37', Clarke O. 🟥,
  • 38', Ripley C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Tafazolli R. , Wilson-Brown T. ,
  • 56', Brown C. , O'Brien C. ,
  • 61', Drinan A. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 61', Glatzel P. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 61', Nichols T. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 63', Rawson F. , Sass F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Madden P. , Heath I. (A),
  • 73', Snowdon J. , Bodin B. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Heath I. , Madden P. (A),
  • 84', Conneely S. , Bauress J. ,
  • 84', Henderson A. , Grant C. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Madden P. , Grant C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
37%
Draw
30.5%
Swindon Town
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 27.1% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 26.5% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.06)
    3.9
    (3.48)
    4.05
    (2.24)
    -16.7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
    • Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Swindon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Love D. (Yellow Cards) Whalley S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Rawson F. (Injury) Walton T. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0
    30.11.2024 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 3:2
    16.11.2024 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 2:2
    12.03.2024 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 1:2
    28.11.2023 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 3:4
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2MK Dons1373326:131324
    3Grimsby1373325:151024
    4Swindon1280422:17524
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    9Notts Co1262421:13820
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League