Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (142/247) | 79% (391/492) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (142/247) | 79% (391/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (16/73) | 46% (38/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 29% (20/70) | 65% (99/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Woods J. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Palmer O. ⚽, Batty J. (A),
- 20', 2 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
- 26', Sass F. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
- 58', Hoilett J. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 63', Coyle L. 🟨,
- 72', Sinclair I. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 78', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 78', Clarke O. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 78', Palmer O. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Butterfield L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
55.9% | Draw
24.9% | Accrington Stanley
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.54) |
3.75 ↓
(3.87) |
4.89 ↓
(5.55) |
6.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.
- Recent performances by Swindon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Accrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Red Card)
Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
Snowdon J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Inactive)
Heath I.
(Inactive)
Henderson A.
(Inactive)
Love D.
(Injury)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Swindon Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
18.10.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Swindon Town
4:0
22.03.2025
Swindon Town
-
Accrington Stanley
0:0
30.11.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Swindon Town
3:2
16.11.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Swindon Town
2:2
12.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:2
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
