Result
1:4
10/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 33
- Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/441) | 77% (289/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 5.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 37 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/441) | 77% (289/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (48/82) | 63% (71/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 5.17 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Marcao ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
- 30', Marcao ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
- 33', Matur O. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 2, Caglayan O. ⚽, Yalcin S. (A),
- 43', Mendes R. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 3, Rivas R. ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sadiku L. ↓, Guzelbay C. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 3, Candeias D. (Pen),
- 63', Cinan M. 🟨,
- 68', Matur O. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
- 68', Ivan A. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
- 73', Cikalleshi S. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
- 84', Koc S. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
- 84', Vukovic J. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
- 90+1', Celikay K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mendes R. (Pen),
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Mendes R. ⚽,
- 90+3', Rivas R. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
- 90+5', Mendes R. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
- 90+5', Pedrinho ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adanaspor
12.2% | Draw
21.5% | Kocaelispor
66.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kocaelispor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kocaelispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adanaspor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.64 ↑
(5.5) |
4.3 ↑
(3.75) |
1.4 ↓
(1.5) |
7.8%
(11.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Adanaspor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kocaelispor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1.
- Adanaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Kocaelispor is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Adanaspor: Aslan N.
(Yellow Cards)
Diakite C.
(Inactive)
Fofana A.
(Inactive)
Yepie Yepie S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Degirmenci G.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Adanaspor won against Kocaelispor?
Adanaspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Adanaspor?
Kocaelispor has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adanaspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
29.11.2024
Kocaelispor
-
Adanaspor
2:0
03.02.2024
Kocaelispor
-
Adanaspor
1:0
01.09.2023
Adanaspor
-
Kocaelispor
0:2
Latest results of Adanaspor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bye | |
| 3 | Bandirmaspor (5) | Erzurumspor (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Istanbulspor AS (4) | Boluspor (7) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bandirmaspor (5) | Boluspor (7) | 1 : 0, 4 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Karagumruk (3) | Bandirmaspor (5) | 3 : 1 |
