Sakaryaspor vs Adanaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Celik D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.080.31
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
225
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
88% (402/459)65% (124/192)
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.080.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.81
Total shots
225
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
173
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
447
Offsides
63
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
88% (402/459)65% (124/192)
Long passes
52% (24/46)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
71% (102/143)46% (23/50)
Crosses
21% (7/33)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.580.26
Fouls
1013
Tackles
69% (11/16)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5249
Clearances Total
1738
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.812.17
Goals prevented
-0.190.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Durmaz E. 🟨,
  • 42', Demirtas K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', Can Esendemir Y. 🟨,
  • 59', Simon N. , Demir E. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Cikalleshi S. , Koc S. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 1, Demirtas K. , Coban B. (A),
  • 65', Cinar O. , Yildirim M. ,
  • 75', Mamadou M. , Altintas E. ,
  • 75', Erturk M. , Yavuz S. ,
  • 76', Aslan N. 🟨,
  • 77', Alpsoy H. , Midilic Y. ,
  • 81', Can Esendemir Y. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Ozegovic O. (Pen),
  • 83', Candeias D. 🟨,
  • 88', Ozegovic O. , Sismanoglu O. ,
  • 88', Durmaz E. , Altunbas M. ,
  • 88', Guzelbay C. , Emeksiz D. ,
  • 90+3', Emeksiz D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
62.7%
Draw
22.5%
Adanaspor
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.1% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 22.9% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.
  • Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.63)
    4.18
    (3.83)
    6.37
    (4.8)
    7.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sakaryaspor will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Sakaryaspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Adanaspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Sakaryaspor is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Adanaspor: Ciss A. (Yellow Cards) Diakite C. (Inactive) Fofana A. (Inactive) Tuzun B. (Inactive) Yepie Yepie S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Adanaspor: Hatipoglu H. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor 1:1
    09.03.2024 Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor 0:0
    21.10.2023 Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor 2:0
    16.10.2022 Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor 3:2
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    Latest results of Adanaspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor35219577:364172
    3Erokspor352010579:334670
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Umraniyespor351271642:44-243
    15Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    16Boluspor351261752:54-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor35891844:62-1833
    19Hatayspor ✔ 35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hatayspor is Relegated to
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to