Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Adelaide Comets
26.6%
Draw
23.3%
Sturt Lions
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 23.2% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 21.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Adelaide Comets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Comets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.43)
    3.91
    (3.93)
    1.82
    (1.82)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Comets won 3.
    • Adelaide Comets is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sturt Lions has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sturt Lions could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Comets won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide Comets won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions were as follows:
    08.07.2023 Sturt Lions - Adelaide Comets 2:0
    22.04.2023 Adelaide Comets - Sturt Lions 0:0
    Latest results of Adelaide Comets
    Latest results of Sturt Lions
    Australian NPL South Australian Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Playford Patriots861124:101419
    2West Torrens852117:11617
    3NE Metrostars843120:101015
    4Adelaide City842217:9814
    5Sturt Lions840418:14412
    6Adelaide United U23833214:11312
    7Campbelltown City832318:14411
    8FK Beograd832313:11211
    9Croydon832313:16-311
    10West Adelaide823316:18-29
    11Adelaide Comets80175:19-141
    12Para80176:38-321

          Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ SA State League