Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Adelaide Oval (Adelaide).

AFL - Round 8
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy

Match Stats


Goals
16	7
Behinds
14	8
Kicks
224	194
Handballs
156	117
Disposals
380	311
Frees For
20	24
Frees Against
24	20
Clearances Completed
38	30
Marks
120	94
Tackles
35	47
Hitouts
44	19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (33 - 14)
02:03, Cumming I. (Behind),
03:12, Rachele J. (Behind),
05:07, Rankine I. (G),
07:08, Cripps P. (G),
08:28, Fogarty D. (G),
13:23, (Behind Rushed),
14:32, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
19:34, Motlop J. (G),
21:30, (Behind Rushed),
24:37, Dawson J. (G),
26:25, Neil-Bullen A. (G),
32:57, Rachele J. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (22 - 8)
01:09, Curnow C. (G),
02:32, Michalanney M. (Behind),
03:06, Keays B. (Behind),
08:08, De Koning T. (Behind),
11:28, Walker T. (Behind),
16:02, Walker T. (G),
17:15, Keays B. (G),
20:11, Rankine I. (Behind),
21:16, Walsh S. (Behind),
29:10, Dawson J. (G),
3rd Quarter (33 - 14)
01:41, Keays B. (Behind),
05:23, Durdin C. (G),
08:29, Fogarty D. (Behind),
12:16, Curnow C. (Behind),
15:38, Keays B. (G),
18:21, Rachele J. (G),
20:11, Durdin C. (G),
22:23, Durdin C. (Behind),
25:50, Dawson J. (G),
27:02, Rachele J. (G),
28:17, Rankine I. (G),
30:12, Dawson J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (22 - 14)
01:20, Rankine I. (Behind),
04:21, Young L. (Behind),
05:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
08:56, (Behind Rushed),
11:18, Michalanney M. (Behind),
12:22, Fogarty D. (G),
15:06, Soligo J. (Behind),
21:21, Curnow C. (G),
26:12, Cripps P. (G),
27:27, (Behind Rushed),
28:01, Smith B. (G),

Chances of winning

Adelaide Crows
61.1%

Carlton Blues
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Crows's form might have worsened.

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlton Blues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)		2.4 ↓ (2.94)	7.7% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Carlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Adelaide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1428:1204. (average 89.3:75.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 436:293. (average 109:73.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Crows won against Carlton Blues?

Adelaide Crows has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Adelaide Crows?

Carlton Blues has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues were as follows:

13.04.2024 Carlton Blues - Adelaide Crows 98:100

13.04.2023 Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues 118:62

Latest results of Adelaide Crows

25.04.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Adelaide Crows 85:67 ✺

19.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Greater Western Sydney Giants 52:34 ✺

10.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats 100:119 ✺

04.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Adelaide Crows 91:90 ✺

30.03.2025 Adelaide Crows - North Melbourne Kangaroos 114:78 ✺

Latest results of Carlton Blues

27.04.2025 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 94:76 ✺

18.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues 71:153 ✺

11.04.2025 Carlton Blues - West Coast Eagles 121:50 ✺

03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46 ✺

28.03.2025 Carlton Blues - Western Bulldogs 75:83 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	23	18	0	5	2278:1635	139.33	72
2	Geelong Cats	23	17	0	6	2425:1714	141.48	68
3	Collingwood Magpies	23	16	0	7	1991:1627	122.37	64
4	Brisbane Lions	22	15	1	6	1972:1725	114.32	62
5	Hawthorn Hawks	22	15	0	7	1966:1602	122.72	60
6	GWS Giants	22	15	0	7	2010:1741	115.45	60
7	Fremantle Dockers	22	15	0	7	1866:1718	108.61	60
8	Western Bulldogs	22	14	0	8	2396:1708	140.28	56
9	Gold Coast Suns	22	14	0	8	2020:1682	120.10	56
10	Sydney Swans	23	12	0	11	1845:1902	97.00	48
11	Carlton Blues	23	9	0	14	1799:1861	96.67	36
12	St Kilda Saints	22	9	0	13	1746:1973	88.49	36
13	Port Adelaide Power	23	9	0	14	1705:2136	79.82	36
14	Melbourne Demons	23	7	0	16	1902:2038	93.33	28
15	Essendon Bombers	22	6	0	16	1477:2056	71.84	24
16	North Melbourne	23	5	1	17	1805:2365	76.32	22
17	Richmond Tigers	23	5	0	18	1449:2197	65.95	20
18	West Coast Eagles	23	1	0	22	1466:2438	60.13	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )