Result
4:4
28/02/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 4.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (259/346) | 82% (368/449) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (62/100) | 67% (78/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 17% (4/23) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 75% (12/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, May G. ⚽, Brimmer J. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, May G. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
- 30', 2 - 1, Elsey J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 52', 3 - 1, Rogerson L. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
- 55', Brimmer J. ↓, Verstraete L. ↑,
- 55', Mata M. A. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 2, Clough Z. (Pen),
- 63', Folami B. ↓, Mauk S. ↑,
- 70', Rogerson L. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
- 70', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 3, Clough Z. (Pen),
- 83', Dukuly Y. ↓, Tatu A. ↑,
- 84', Moreno N. ↓, Elliot C. ↑,
- 89', Clough Z. ↓, White R. ↑,
- 89', Goodwin A. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Sakai H. ⚽,
- 90+8', 4 - 4, Vriends B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Auckland FC
56.4% | Draw
22.7% | Adelaide United
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland FC's performance.Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Auckland FC - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(2.15) |
4.2 ↑
(3.63) |
4.54 ↑
(3.14) |
5.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
Auckland FC will win
(24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Auckland in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Adelaide is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Auckland is a favorite.
- There will not play in Auckland: Hall D.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Jovanovic L.
(International duty)
Kikianis P.
(International duty)
Lopez J.
(Calf Injury)
O'Neil B.
(Injury)
Talladira F.
(International duty)
Vartuli M.
(Finger Injury)
Yull J.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Adelaide: Madanha P.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Auckland won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Adelaide United?
Auckland FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Auckland FC?
Adelaide United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Adelaide United were as follows:
22.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Auckland FC
2:2
Latest results of Auckland FC
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
