Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 20
- Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (224/333) | 67% (244/364) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (224/333) | 67% (244/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 32% (25/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 55% (77/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gordon B. ⚽, Hawkins E. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Morgan S. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Healy E. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
- 56', McNamara M. 🟨,
- 63', Taranto A. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
- 67', Sasaki N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Melegh I. (Own goal),
- 76', Grove S. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Hawkins E. ⚽,
- 78', Zois P. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
- 78', Condon E. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 82', Bertolissio T. ↓, Skelly L. ↑,
- 82', Hawkins E. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
- 82', Aulicino J. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
- 87', Morgan S. ↓, Dewey S. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Dewey S. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
Chances of winning
Canberra United
44.6% | Draw
25% | Adelaide United
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canberra United's form might have worsened.Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canberra United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Canberra United - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.75) |
3.67 ↑
(3.67) |
3.02 ↓
(3.79) |
9%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 1.
- Canberra United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Adelaide United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Canberra United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Canberra United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:32. (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 2.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Adelaide United?
Canberra United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Canberra United?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra United - Adelaide United were as follows:
14.11.2025
Adelaide United
-
Canberra United
2:1
15.02.2025
Adelaide United
-
Canberra United
1:1
16.11.2024
Canberra United
-
Adelaide United
0:2
13.01.2024
Canberra United
-
Adelaide United
3:1
15.10.2023
Adelaide United
-
Canberra United
4:4
Latest results of Canberra United
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:22 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Brisbane Roar W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 30:36 | -6 | 25 |
| 7 | Perth W | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Melbourne City W is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
