Result
1:3
25/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Williams C. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (226/359) | 56% (180/322) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (226/359) | 56% (180/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 22% (14/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (73/143) | 51% (44/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', O'Grady E. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Lowe R. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, O'Grady E. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 2, Grove S. ⚽,
- 45+3', Morrison K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 3, O'Grady E. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
- 52', Robers E. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
- 57', Taylor-Young H. 🟨,
- 59', Sasaki N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 59', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
- 71', Grove S. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
- 71', Bertolissio T. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
- 73', O'Grady E. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 82', Pollicina R. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Canberra United
49% | Draw
25.6% | Melbourne Victory
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra United's performance.Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Canberra United - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.33) |
3.6 ↑
(3.29) |
3.61 ↑
(2.77) |
8.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Canberra United - Melbourne Victory?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 2.
- Canberra United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Melbourne Victory?
Canberra United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Canberra United?
Melbourne Victory has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra United - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
31.01.2026
Canberra United
-
Melbourne Victory
3:1
05.12.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Canberra United
1:3
09.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Canberra United
2:0
21.12.2024
Canberra United
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
20.01.2024
Canberra United
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
Latest results of Canberra United
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | |
