Result
3:1
10/05/2025 at 00:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (160/248) | 73% (303/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (160/248) | 73% (303/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/73) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (42/79) | 60% (91/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 22% (8/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.33 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', McNamara M. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Lowe R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', Murphy A. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, D'Appolonia S. ⚽, Flannery N. (A),
- 64', Worts F. 🟨,
- 68', Dawber C. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 68', Leon L. ↓, Bowler K. ↑,
- 68', Morgan S. ↓, Dewey S. ↑,
- 77', Gielnik E. ↓, Furphy H. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Lowe R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
- 82', Murphy A. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 82', Flannery N. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
- 82', Worts F. ↓, Panagaris C. ↑,
- 82', Condon E. ↓, Sasaki N. ↑,
- 87', Bunge C. ↓, Pickett L. ↑,
- 87', Wilson E. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Hodgson I. ⚽, Holmes D. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
57.3% | Draw
21.2% | Adelaide United
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Victory's performance.Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.83) |
4.34 ↑
(3.83) |
4.27 ↑
(3.54) |
8.7%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 5.
- Melbourne Victory is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Adelaide United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Adelaide United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne Victory?
Adelaide United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United were as follows:
04.05.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:3
29.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
2:1
02.11.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
10.03.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:4
04.11.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
2:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Adelaide W (3) | Western United W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | Canberra W (5) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Adelaide W (3) | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Melbourne City W (1) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne Victory W (2) | Central Coast Mariners W (4) | 1 : 2 |
