Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 13
- Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 3.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (245/349) | 64% (227/353) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 3.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (245/349) | 64% (227/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (19/65) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (48/81) | 52% (72/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 46% (11/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.76 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 38', 1 - 0, Worts F. ⚽, Taranto A. (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, White K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 1, Zois P. ⚽,
- 61', Saveska S. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
- 65', Worts F. ↓, Healy E. ↑,
- 66', Taranto M. ↓, Morgan S. ↑,
- 73', Pickett L. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
- 74', Jancevski A. ↓, Blissett C. ↑,
- 82', Condon E. ↓, Murray E. ↑,
- 89', Taranto A. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 90+1', Pollicina R. ↓, Young J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
31.9% | Draw
25.9% | Melbourne Victory
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(2.99) |
3.52 ↓
(3.73) |
2.15 ↓
(2.2) |
10%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Adelaide United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Adelaide United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 26:43. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne Victory?
Adelaide United has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
13.12.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
1:0
10.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
3:1
04.05.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:3
29.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
2:1
02.11.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
