Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/12/2025 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 7
  • Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.32
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
68% (237/350)71% (273/383)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.12
Total shots
149
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
78
Passes
68% (237/350)71% (273/383)
Long passes
31% (16/52)25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
54% (51/95)53% (50/95)
Crosses
38% (6/16)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.24
Throw-ins
4730
Fouls
87
Tackles
67% (18/27)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1825
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.121.11
Goals prevented
0.120.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Lowe R. , Furphy H. (A),
  • 66', Taranto A. , Makris E. ,
  • 71', Ray T. , Curtis R. ,
  • 76', Sakalis S. , Flannery N. ,
  • 77', Zois P. , Dewey S. ,
  • 77', Hodgson I. , Gooch L. ,
  • 77', Dawber C. , Rossi C. ,
  • 90+2', Furphy H. , Techera S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
54.8%
Draw
23.2%
Adelaide United
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 24% 33.2%

Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(2.21)
3.95
(3.93)
4.19
(2.84)
8.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne Victory will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 5.
    • Melbourne Victory has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:28. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 3:1
    04.05.2025 Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory 1:3
    29.03.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1
    02.11.2024 Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory 2:3
    10.03.2024 Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory 1:4
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Canberra W741213:7613
    2Melbourne Victory W740312:8412
    3Newcastle W53118:6210
    4Brisbane Roar W53029:909
    5Sydney W62315:419
    6Melbourne City W42118:447
    7Central Coast Mariners W52037:706
    8Perth W62046:12-66
    9Wellington Phoenix W51223:4-15
    10Adelaide W51133:8-54
    11WS Wanderers W51133:8-54

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)