Adelaide United vs Perth Glory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
20/02/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 18
  • Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
thailandThailandSPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.721.01
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
60
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
62
Passes
80% (378/472)78% (359/458)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.721.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.00
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
46
Shots outside the box
104
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1530
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
22
Free kicks
86
Passes
80% (378/472)78% (359/458)
Long passes
41% (22/54)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
67% (70/105)61% (76/124)
Crosses
9% (1/11)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.431.37
Throw ins
1916
Fouls
68
Tackles
57% (8/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
2618
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.66
Goals prevented
0.00-2.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Muniz J. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Yull J. ,
  • 31', Ostler T. , Despotovski S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Jovanovic L. , White R. (A),
  • 55', Tevere L. , Pennington N. ,
  • 55', Taggart A. , Popovic G. ,
  • 55', Kucharski J. , Colakovski S. ,
  • 63', Kikianis P. , Phillis S. ,
  • 70', Jovanovic L. , Burkitt B. ,
  • 70', White R. , Duzel L. ,
  • 82', Lebib A. 🟨,
  • 84', Phillis S. 🟨,
  • 84', Muniz J. , Folami B. ,
  • 84', Dukuly Y. , Madanha P. ,
  • 84', Freney W. , Timmins C. ,
  • 89', Colakovski S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, Duzel L. , Madanha P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
45.9%
Draw
23.8%
Perth Glory
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 25.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 24.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Adelaide United - Perth Glory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.2)
    3.93
    (3.63)
    3.11
    (2.85)
    6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Perth Glory?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Perth will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 57.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Adelaide (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Adelaide (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
    • Adelaide is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo (Hip Injury) Cox E. (Knee Injury) Goodwin C. (Injury) Pierias D. (Knee Injury) Riak A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Kaltack B. (Red Card) O'Neill B. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:41. (average 1.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Perth Glory were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 0:1
    12.04.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 4:1
    29.11.2024 Adelaide United - Perth Glory 2:2
    07.04.2024 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 2:4
    09.02.2024 Adelaide United - Perth Glory 3:3
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Latest results of Perth Glory
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets ✔ 24142849:371244
    2Auckland FC24118540:261441
    3Sydney FC24114931:23837
    4Adelaide United24107741:34737
    5Melbourne Victory24106840:31936
    6Melbourne City2498729:29035
    7Macarthur FC2487932:41-931
    8Wellington Phoenix24861034:43-930
    9Central Coast Mariners2478934:38-429
    10Perth Glory24761130:38-827
    11Brisbane Roar24681024:31-726
    12WS Wanderers24561326:39-1321

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)