Result
4:0
20/02/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 18
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (378/472) | 78% (359/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (378/472) | 78% (359/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (70/105) | 61% (76/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -2.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Muniz J. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Yull J. ⚽,
- 31', Ostler T. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 3 - 0, Jovanovic L. ⚽, White R. (A),
- 55', Tevere L. ↓, Pennington N. ↑,
- 55', Taggart A. ↓, Popovic G. ↑,
- 55', Kucharski J. ↓, Colakovski S. ↑,
- 63', Kikianis P. ↓, Phillis S. ↑,
- 70', Jovanovic L. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 70', White R. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 82', Lebib A. 🟨,
- 84', Phillis S. 🟨,
- 84', Muniz J. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
- 84', Dukuly Y. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
- 84', Freney W. ↓, Timmins C. ↑,
- 89', Colakovski S. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 0, Duzel L. ⚽, Madanha P. (A),
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
45.9% | Draw
23.8% | Perth Glory
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Adelaide United - Perth Glory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.2) |
3.93 ↑
(3.63) |
3.11 ↑
(2.85) |
6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Perth Glory?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Perth will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Adelaide (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Adelaide (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Adelaide United will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Adelaide is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Perth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Hip Injury)
Cox E.
(Knee Injury)
Goodwin C.
(Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
Riak A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cook C.
(Knee Injury)
Kaltack B.
(Red Card)
O'Neill B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:41. (average 1.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Perth Glory?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perth Glory won against Adelaide United?
Perth Glory has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Perth Glory were as follows:
20.12.2025
Perth Glory
-
Adelaide United
0:1
12.04.2025
Perth Glory
-
Adelaide United
4:1
29.11.2024
Adelaide United
-
Perth Glory
2:2
07.04.2024
Perth Glory
-
Adelaide United
2:4
09.02.2024
Adelaide United
-
Perth Glory
3:3
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Perth Glory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
