Result
 
                    3:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        02/05/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Eerste Divisie - Round 37
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Finland | Veikkaus TV | 
|  Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.67 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (336/443) | 76% (308/407) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.67 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.68 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 22 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (336/443) | 76% (308/407) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 44% (34/78) | 34% (26/77) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 58% (65/113) | 43% (29/68) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 22% (2/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.64 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 29 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 58% (7/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 48 | 50 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 26 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.43 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.32 | -1.57 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', Balk R. 🟨, 
- 16', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽, 
- 20', Nieling B. 🟨, 
- 25', 1 - 1, Pauwels B. ⚽, Rolke T. (A), 
- 30', 1 - 2, Rolke T. ⚽, Balk R. (A), 
- 44', 2 - 2, van Mieghem D. ⚽, Bonis L. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kieftenbeld M. ↓, van Mullem J. ↑, 
- 64', Rolke T. ↓, Hilterman J. ↑, 
- 67', Van Der Sloot S. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑, 
- 71', 2 - 3, Hilterman J. (Pen), 
- 75', Pauwels B. ↓, Alhaft I. ↑, 
- 76', 2 - 4, Alhaft I. ⚽, Galvez T. (A), 
- 77', Sylla S. ↓, Peupion C. ↑, 
- 81', Mercera T. ↓, Ottesen S. ↑, 
- 81', Galvez T. ↓, Poll T. ↑, 
- 83', Schalk A. ↓, Lourens D. ↑, 
- 89', 3 - 4, Lourens D. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | ADO Den Haag 45.6%
 | Draw 25.8%
 | Cambuur 28.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambuur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADO Den Haag that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cambuur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        ADO Den Haag - Cambuur Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.06 ↓ (2.43)
 | 3.64 ↓ (3.65)
 | 3.28 ↑ (2.68)
 | 6.6% (6.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag - Cambuur?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            15 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Cambuur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Den Haag might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Den Haag: Reischl L.
(Broken collarbone)
- There will not play in Cambuur: Caschili G.
(Knee Injury)
Nartey M.
(Yellow Cards)
Schaapman M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against Cambuur?
                    
                    
                        
                            ADO Den Haag has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against ADO Den Haag?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cambuur has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between ADO Den Haag - Cambuur were as follows:
                                                        
                                07.12.2024 
                                Cambuur 
                                - 
                                ADO Den Haag 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.10.2024 
                                ADO Den Haag 
                                - 
                                Cambuur 
                                1:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.04.2024 
                                Cambuur 
                                - 
                                ADO Den Haag 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.11.2023 
                                ADO Den Haag 
                                - 
                                Cambuur 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of ADO Den Haag                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cambuur                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 | 
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 | 
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 | 
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 | 
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 | 
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | 
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 | 
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 | 
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 | 
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 | 
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 | 
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 | 
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 | 
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 | 
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 | 
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 | 
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 | 
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 | 
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie
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