ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.341.12
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
93
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
63
Passes
83% (461/554)70% (204/293)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.341.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.03
Total shots
209
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
102
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
01
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
4515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1620
Passes
83% (461/554)70% (204/293)
Long passes
55% (38/69)36% (25/70)
Passes in final third
73% (119/163)43% (33/76)
Crosses
25% (8/32)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.15
Throw ins
2620
Fouls
2016
Tackles
60% (15/25)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
938
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
18
xGOT faced
1.032.04
Goals prevented
-0.971.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', Amofa J. 🟨,
  • 14', Reischl L. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, van der Sande J. , Diemers M. (A),
  • 24', 0 - 2, Balk R. , van der Sande J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Reischl L. , Bal J. ,
  • 60', Sjostrand O. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 60', Ferrah I. , Marsman B. ,
  • 61', Mulders R. 🟨,
  • 64', Hokke M. 🟨,
  • 73', Balk R. , Apkakou E. ,
  • 74', Rottier E. , Thomas N. ,
  • 74', Waem M. , Jimenez M. ,
  • 81', van der Sande J. , Visser K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Bal J. , Thomas N. (A),
  • 90+5', Apkakou E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADO Den Haag
55.8%
Draw
22.1%
Cambuur
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 21.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 23.5% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ADO Den Haag - Cambuur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.63)
    4.21
    (4.33)
    4.17
    (4.39)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag - Cambuur?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): ADO Den Haag will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 1.
    • Den Haag is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cambuur is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Cambuur has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Den Haag is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Den Haag: de Ruijter I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Den Haag: Thomas N. (Knock)
    • We predict that Den Haag will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADO Den Haag - Cambuur were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0
    02.05.2025 ADO Den Haag - Cambuur 3:4
    07.12.2024 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:1
    29.10.2024 ADO Den Haag - Cambuur 1:4
    05.04.2024 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 0:2
    Latest results of ADO Den Haag
    19.12.2025 ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV 1:2
    12.12.2025 FC Oss - ADO Den Haag 3:4
    05.12.2025 ADO Den Haag - Emmen 2:1
    28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3
    Latest results of Cambuur
    19.12.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:0
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1
    05.12.2025 Cambuur - Den Bosch 2:1
    28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0
    21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur27186357:302760
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City281331258:471142
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
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