Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden).

Eerste Divisie - Round 21
Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	0.36
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
11	3
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
88% (506/578)	81% (289/357)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.50	0.07
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
11	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
36	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
15	4
Passes
88% (506/578)	81% (289/357)
Long passes
49% (22/45)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
77% (104/135)	68% (70/103)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.05	0.69
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
4	15
Tackles
41% (7/17)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
63	32
Clearances
20	23
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.07	3.50
Goals prevented
0.07	-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sjostrand O. ⚽, Ferrah I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Baouf I. ⚽,
62', Verheijen T. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
62', Amgar A. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
63', van der Sande J. ↓, Balk R. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Rolke T. ⚽, Balk R. (A),
72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
76', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
76', Rolke T. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Henstra I. ⚽, Binder N. (A),
83', Galvez T. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
83', Souren N. ↓, van der Heide W. ↑,
83', Braken S. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
83', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cambuur
75.9%

Draw
14.5%

MVV Maastricht
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

16.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

15.8%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Cambuur - MVV Maastricht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	6.39 ↑ (5.69)	9.82 ↑ (7.38)	7.1% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Cambuur - MVV Maastricht?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 71.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Maastricht (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5.
Cambuur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Maastricht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Cambuur is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against MVV Maastricht?

Cambuur has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Cambuur?

MVV Maastricht has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - MVV Maastricht were as follows:

12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1

09.05.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 1:0

09.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1

12.01.2024 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 5:2

02.11.2023 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:1

Latest results of Cambuur

12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Cambuur - Den Bosch 2:1 ✺

28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺

21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0 ✺

15.11.2025 FC Eindhoven - Cambuur 3:3 ✺

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4 ✺

30.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 0:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )