Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 38
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.932.99
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1126
Shots on target
413
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
38
Passes
82% (284/345)87% (435/500)
Expected goals (xG)
1.932.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.263.46
Total shots
1126
Shots on target
413
Shots off target
29
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
918
Shots outside the box
28
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1749
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
118
Passes
82% (284/345)87% (435/500)
Long passes
48% (21/44)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
77% (61/79)71% (88/124)
Crosses
0% (0/2)62% (8/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.62
Throw ins
1315
Fouls
811
Tackles
90% (9/10)80% (16/20)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
263
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
93
xGOT faced
3.461.26
Goals prevented
0.460.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sylla S. , Thomas N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', de Groot N. , Wolters R. ,
  • 46', Laros M. , el Bakkali Z. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Hawkins J. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Thomas N. , Kreekels M. (A),
  • 59', Hawkins J. , van Mieghem D. ,
  • 59', Thomas N. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 59', Vlak J. , de Bruin F. ,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Wolters R. , Semedo E. (A),
  • 73', Karlsson Grach S. , Millis B. ,
  • 73', Jimenez M. , Brandt J. ,
  • 83', Kreekels M. , Bergtop S. ,
  • 84', Boumassaoudi I. , Verbeek D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Den Bosch
10%
Draw
14.8%
ADO Den Haag
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 23.4% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 22.6% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.
  • ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-22.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.34
    (3.57)
    6.39
    (3.95)
    1.24
    (1.82)
    7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Den Bosch (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Den Haag (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • Den Haag is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Eredivisie
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 2.
    • Den Bosch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Den Haag is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Den Haag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Den Haag is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Den Bosch: van Leeuwen T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Den Haag: Tomas D. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag 4:3
    25.10.2025 ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch 2:1
    02.03.2025 ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch 2:1
    13.09.2024 Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag 2:0
    11.02.2024 ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch 3:0
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    20.04.2026 Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht 1:1
    17.04.2026 FC Oss - Den Bosch 4:2
    10.04.2026 Den Bosch - Cambuur 0:0
    06.04.2026 Almere City - Den Bosch 1:2
    21.03.2026 Waalwijk - Den Bosch 2:3
    Latest results of ADO Den Haag
    17.04.2026 ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk 5:1
    12.04.2026 Dordrecht - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    03.04.2026 ADO Den Haag - Jong Ajax 4:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )