Result
1:3
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/345) | 87% (435/500) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 3.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/345) | 87% (435/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 59% (24/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (61/79) | 71% (88/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 62% (8/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.46 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Sylla S. ⚽, Thomas N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', de Groot N. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
- 46', Laros M. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Hawkins J. ⚽,
- 50', 0 - 3, Thomas N. ⚽, Kreekels M. (A),
- 59', Hawkins J. ↓, van Mieghem D. ↑,
- 59', Thomas N. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 59', Vlak J. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 3, Wolters R. ⚽, Semedo E. (A),
- 73', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Millis B. ↑,
- 73', Jimenez M. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
- 83', Kreekels M. ↓, Bergtop S. ↑,
- 84', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Verbeek D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Den Bosch 10% | Draw 14.8% | ADO Den Haag 75.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Den Bosch's form might have worsened.ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Den Bosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-22.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9.34 ↑ (3.57) |
6.39 ↑ (3.95) |
1.24 ↓ (1.82) |
7% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Den Bosch (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
ADO Den Haag will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Den Haag (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- Den Haag is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Eredivisie
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 2.
- Den Bosch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Den Haag is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Den Haag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Den Haag is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Den Bosch: van Leeuwen T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Den Haag: Tomas D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against ADO Den Haag?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against Den Bosch?
ADO Den Haag has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
28.10.2025
Den Bosch
-
ADO Den Haag
4:3
25.10.2025
ADO Den Haag
-
Den Bosch
2:1
02.03.2025
ADO Den Haag
-
Den Bosch
2:1
13.09.2024
Den Bosch
-
ADO Den Haag
2:0
11.02.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
Den Bosch
3:0
Latest results of Den Bosch
Latest results of ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )