Result
2:3
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 33
- Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/446) | 80% (310/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (361/446) | 80% (310/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 67% (83/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.35 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', van Gelderen L. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Kuster H. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', van Gelderen L. ↓, Bakboord N. ↑,
- 57', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, van Leeuwen T. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, de Groot N. ⚽, van Leeuwen T. (A),
- 60', Boetius J-P. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
- 60', Cleonise D. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 67', Sille G. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
- 67', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 69', van Eijma R. 🟥,
- 70', 1 - 2, Wolters R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
- 84', Kuster H. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
- 87', van Grunsven T. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Uneken J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Laros M. ⚽, van Leeuwen T. (A),
Chances of winning
Waalwijk
50.8% | Draw
23.9% | Den Bosch
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)The ML Model estimate for Den Bosch aligns with the current prediction.
Waalwijk - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.79) |
3.9 ↓
(4.1) |
3.68 ↑
(3.6) |
7.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Den Bosch?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Waalwijk will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 2.
- Waalwijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Den Bosch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Waalwijk could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Monzialo K.
(Yellow Cards)
Wang B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Den Bosch?
Waalwijk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Waalwijk?
Den Bosch has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Den Bosch were as follows:
03.10.2025
Den Bosch
-
Waalwijk
2:2
12.07.2025
Den Bosch
-
Waalwijk
0:0
06.07.2024
Waalwijk
-
Den Bosch
2:3
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Heracles | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24:9 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Venlo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Roda | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Helmond | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | -11 | 4 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Oss | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
