Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/01/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.43
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
712
Offsides
42
Fouls
127
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3127
Touches in the Opposition Box
357
Passes
81% (402/496)67% (200/299)
Passes in the final third
64% (104/163)55% (41/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)36% (4/11)
Tackles
82% (9/11)87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
1335
Interceptions
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Schalk A. , Reischl L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Van Der Sloot S. 🟨,
  • 70', Sanches Fernandes D. , Omorowa R. ,
  • 76', de Bruin F. , Surmeli K. ,
  • 76', van Mieghem D. , Maasland L. ,
  • 79', Naujoks N. 🟨,
  • 79', Bergraaf J. , Donkor J. ,
  • 80', Donkor J. 🟨,
  • 86', Hamalainen T. , de Ruijter I. ,
  • 86', Reischl L. , Lourens D. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
51.7%
Draw
24.2%
ADO Den Haag
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 25% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.3% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Excelsior - ADO Den Haag Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.88)
    3.88
    (3.75)
    3.88
    (3.74)
    6.5%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - ADO Den Haag?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Den Haag will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4.
    • Recent matches Excelsior is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Den Haag is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Excelsior have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Den Haag have a series of home games.
    • In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Den Haag: Tomas D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Den Haag: Hokke M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 43:42 (average 2.2:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 2.3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
    30.08.2024 ADO Den Haag - Excelsior 0:5
    25.05.2024 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 7:1
    22.05.2024 ADO Den Haag - Excelsior 1:2
    Latest results of Excelsior
    17.01.2025 Cambuur - Excelsior 1:0
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    10.01.2025 Excelsior - Dordrecht 1:0
    21.12.2024 VVV-Venlo - Excelsior 1:1
    17.12.2024 FC Eindhoven - Excelsior 1:3
    Latest results of ADO Den Haag
    22.12.2024 ADO Den Haag - FC Oss 1:0
    07.12.2024 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:1
    29.11.2024 ADO Den Haag - Emmen 2:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )