Result
1:3
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/400) | 82% (361/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/400) | 82% (361/438) |
| Long passes |
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| 45% (23/51) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (49/74) | 78% (139/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Thomas N. ⚽, Rottier E. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Bajrami L. ⚽, Poll T. (A),
- 45+1', Daneels L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rottier E. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑,
- 46', Absalem A. 🟨,
- 47', 1 - 2, Waem M. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
- 61', 1 - 3, Fiabema B. ⚽, Tomas D. (A),
- 62', Thomas N. ↓, Peupion C. ↑,
- 66', Geerts D. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
- 72', Hokke M. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
- 73', Daneels L. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
- 73', Vlak J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 73', Koglin B. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
- 77', Tomas D. 🟨,
- 80', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
- 86', Reischl L. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
- 90+1', Lukowicz M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport 15.1% | Draw 20% | ADO Den Haag 64.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-1%)
Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.15 ↑ (5.22) |
4.68 ↑ (4.66) |
1.44 ↓ (1.51) |
7.1% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Den Haag will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Den Haag is the undeniable favorite.
- There are questionable in Helmond Sport: Van Den Eynden F.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against ADO Den Haag?
Helmond Sport has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against Helmond Sport?
ADO Den Haag has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
29.08.2025
ADO Den Haag
-
Helmond Sport
2:0
17.01.2025
ADO Den Haag
-
Helmond Sport
3:1
25.11.2024
Helmond Sport
-
ADO Den Haag
2:1
12.04.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
Helmond Sport
0:1
01.12.2023
Helmond Sport
-
ADO Den Haag
3:2
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )