Result
1:3
15/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 6
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 3.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (303/396) | 83% (367/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 3.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (303/396) | 83% (367/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 54% (34/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (49/76) | 73% (114/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 34% (11/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Waem M. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
- 38', 0 - 2, Rottier E. ⚽, Vlak J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Alders G. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 3, Bal J. ⚽,
- 61', Sylla S. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
- 61', Bal J. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
- 65', Messori L. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
- 65', Wolff K. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 65', de Falco S. ↓, Peters T. ↑,
- 67', Waem M. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
- 68', Vlak J. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
- 76', O'Niel D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 82', de Ruijter I. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Ouazane Z. ⚽, Konadu D. (A),
- 84', Reischl L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
15.6% | Draw
19.9% | ADO Den Haag
64.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.12 ↑
(4.16) |
5.34 ↑
(4.14) |
1.56 ↓
(1.73) |
-2.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Den Haag (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
ADO Den Haag will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
- Recent performances by Jong Ajax have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Den Haag is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Den Haag is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: O'Niel D.
(Injury)
van de Pavert R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Den Haag: Thomas N.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against ADO Den Haag?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against Jong Ajax?
ADO Den Haag has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
14.02.2025
ADO Den Haag
-
Jong Ajax
1:0
21.10.2024
Jong Ajax
-
ADO Den Haag
0:0
01.03.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
23.10.2023
Jong Ajax
-
ADO Den Haag
0:0
08.05.2023
Jong Ajax
-
ADO Den Haag
4:2
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
