Result
0:1
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 2.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/438) | 82% (322/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/438) | 82% (322/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (96/135) | 63% (50/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Ouazane A. 🟨,
- 44', Sbai Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Joosten T. 🟨,
- 53', Matoug N. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
- 65', Odriss M. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
- 65', Saddiki D. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
- 65', Butera E. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Kalokoh D. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
- 74', van Zijl B. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
- 74', de Blok L. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
- 77', Nash P. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
- 78', Acheampong L. 🟨,
- 88', Peters T. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 88', Ouazane A. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 89', Appiah A. 🟨,
- 89', Foor N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo
54.4% | Draw
22.4% | Jong Ajax
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.59) |
4.17 ↓
(4.3) |
4.03 ↓
(4.6) |
7.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 12% – 65%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Venlo (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 4.
- Recent form of Venlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jong Ajax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Venlo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: O'Niel D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Jong Ajax?
VVV-Venlo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against VVV-Venlo?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax were as follows:
26.09.2025
Jong Ajax
-
VVV-Venlo
2:4
07.03.2025
VVV-Venlo
-
Jong Ajax
1:0
01.11.2024
Jong Ajax
-
VVV-Venlo
0:1
03.05.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Jong Ajax
2:0
06.10.2023
Jong Ajax
-
VVV-Venlo
3:0
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
