Jong AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag
Result
0:4
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.12
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (324/422)79% (274/349)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.062.80
Total shots
512
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
02
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
932
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
77% (324/422)79% (274/349)
Long passes
48% (39/81)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
54% (52/96)62% (51/82)
Crosses
0% (0/5)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.02
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
1913
Tackles
77% (10/13)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.800.06
Goals prevented
-1.200.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Menu M. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Rottier E. , Vlak J. (A),
  • 19', Thomas N. , Peupion C. ,
  • 20', Bal J. 🟨,
  • 27', de Ruijter I. , Reischl L. ,
  • 34', Sylla S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Bal J. , van Mieghem D. ,
  • 46', Sylla S. , Kreekels M. ,
  • 46', Bouziane W. , Smits A. ,
  • 61', Boogaard K. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 2, van Mieghem D. , Rottier E. (A),
  • 66', van der Klaauw D. , Toppenberg K. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Reischl L. , Kreekels M. (A),
  • 77', van den Ban Y. , Ouaziz A. ,
  • 77', Boogaard K. , Hamdi Y. ,
  • 77', Rottier E. , Jimenez M. ,
  • 81', Zwart J. , Inge K. ,
  • 90+2', Inge K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 4, Peupion C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
13.2%
Draw
18.1%
ADO Den Haag
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 23.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 22.5% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
  • ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.36
    (3.42)
    5.28
    (4)
    1.38
    (1.85)
    5.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
    • Recent performances by Jong AZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Den Haag is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Den Haag is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Budko B. (International duty) Natali A. (International duty) Smit K. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Daal R. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
    11.03.2025 ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    22.11.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag 3:3
    23.12.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag 1:2
    03.09.2023 ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:1
    19.05.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag 0:2
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of ADO Den Haag
    29.09.2025 ADO Den Haag - FC Oss 5:1
    26.09.2025 Waalwijk - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    19.09.2025 ADO Den Haag - Almere City 2:1
    15.09.2025 Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )